Liga Portugal
Rio Ave - Estrela Amadora
03/15/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%0:1
10%2:0
8%xG 分解
Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
40%
平局
33%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
60%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis forecasts a 40% probability of a home win for Rio Ave, with 1.18 expected goals, representing the highest probability among all outcomes
- Both teams, according to advanced stats, show a negative form trend in goal production; Rio Ave with 0.5 goals, Estrela Amadora with 1.0 goals on average in recent matches
- Estrela Amadora exhibits a weakness in away defense, conceding an average of 2.0 goals per game this season
风险因素
- Rio Ave averages only 2.8 shots on target per game
- Estrela Amadora concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
概述
Rio Ave (14th place, 24 points) host Estrela Amadora (12th place, 25 points) at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube. Liga Portugal match on March 15, 2026, 6:00 PM. Both teams in the lower half of the table are fighting for crucial points
近期状态
Rio Ave: LLLDW (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) in last five games, most recently a win. Estrela Amadora: WLLDD (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses), most recently two draws. Rio Ave's goal production decreased to 0.5 goals, season average 1.0. Estrela Amadora's goal production decreased to 1.0 goals, season average 1.3
统计数据
Rio Ave: Avg. 0.96 goals scored, Avg. 1.76 goals conceded. At home: Avg. 1.0 goals scored, Avg. 1.82 conceded. Estrela Amadora: Avg. 1.12 goals scored, Avg. 1.72 goals conceded. Away: Avg. 1.09 goals scored, Avg. 2.0 goals conceded. Rio Ave 2 clean sheets at home, Estrela Amadora 3 away. At Estádio do Rio Ave: Avg. 2.4 goals/game. 2/5 BTTS, 3/5 Over 2.5
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head encounters: Rio Ave 2 wins, Estrela Amadora 1 win, 2 draws. Goal difference 7:5 for Rio Ave. Last match on October 25, 2025: Rio Ave won away 2:1
关键球员
Rio Ave: Jalen Blesa (2 season goals, 1 goal in last 5 games), Dario Spikic (2 season goals, 1 assist), Andreas Ntoi (2 season assists, 1 assist in last 5 games, rising form). Estrela Amadora: Jovane Cabral (5 season goals, 1 goal in last 5 games), Abraham Marcus (4 season goals, 3 assists, 1 assist in last 5 games), Paulo Moreira (3 season goals, 2 assists, 1 goal in last 5 games). Jefferson Encada (0 goals, 2 assists) not in the squad
门将
Rio Ave's goalkeeper Ennio Van Der Gouw: 5 season appearances, team 4 clean sheets (2 at home). Estrela Amadora's goalkeeper Renan Ribeiro: 25 season appearances, team 6 clean sheets (3 away)
影响因素
Estádio do Rio Ave: Avg. 2.4 goals/game, 40% BTTS, 60% Over 2.5 goals. Rio Ave at home: Avg. 1.0 goals scored, Avg. 1.82 goals conceded. Estrela Amadora away: Avg. 1.09 goals scored, Avg. 2.0 goals conceded. The grass pitch is standard for this league