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Bundesliga

FC Union Berlin - Werder Bremen

03/08/2026, 04:30 PM

1 : 4
预期进球
FC Union Berlin
1.5
Total xG
2.3
Werder Bremen
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
FUBWB

FC Union Berlin

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.10
防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.04
Oliver Burke替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
Woo-yeong Jeong替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Christopher Trimmel替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Werder Bremen

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-0.91
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.09
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.09
Justin Njinmah替补席 (4球, 0助攻)
24%进球产出缺失 (仅92%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.70
+0.70
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

50%

平局

30%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

50%

非平局

70%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Prediction: The mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 50%
  • Away Defense: Werder Bremen concedes an average of 2.09 goals per away game
  • Head-to-Head: Werder Bremen dominated recent direct encounters with 3 wins out of 5 matches
风险因素
  • Union Berlin: FC Union Berlin's counter-oriented tactics result in an average of only 3.4 shots on target
  • Form Weakness: Both teams show a 'Negative' form trend and struggling goal production according to Advanced Stats
  • Squad Situation: Werder Bremen has an extensive injury list with multiple players sidelined
概述

FC Union Berlin (11th place, 28 points) host Werder Bremen (16th place, 22 points) at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei. The Bundesliga match takes place on March 8, 2026, 5:30 PM. Union Berlin aims to distance themselves from the relegation zone, while Werder Bremen is fighting for survival.

近期状态

FC Union Berlin's form across all competitions is LDLWL, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses from the last 5 games. Their last result was a loss. Werder Bremen's form in their last 5 matches is DLLLW, also with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. The visitors secured a win in their most recent outing. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

FC Union Berlin averages 1.21 goals scored per game and concedes 1.58 goals per game this season. At home, they average 1.21 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded. Werder Bremen averages 1.04 goals scored and 1.83 goals conceded per match. Away, their figures are 1.0 goals scored and 2.09 goals conceded. For Union Berlin, over 2.5 goals were scored in 13 of 24 games, and both teams scored in 14 games. For Werder Bremen, over 2.5 goals were also scored in 13 of 24 games, and both teams scored in 10 games. The Stadion An der Alten Försterei has seen an average of 2.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 of 5 games and 3 of 5 games having over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In the 5 direct encounters so far, FC Union Berlin achieved 1 win, Werder Bremen 3 wins, and there was 1 draw. The goal difference stands at 5:10 in favor of Werder Bremen. The last meeting on October 24, 2025, ended in a 0:1 away win for Werder Bremen. Recent head-to-head matches show a dominance by Werder Bremen.

关键球员

For FC Union Berlin, Andrej Ilic with 1 goal and 8 assists, Ilyas Ansah with 5 goals and 2 assists, and Rani Khedira with 5 goals are relevant players. Leopold Querfeld shows stable form with 2 goals in his last 3 games. Werder Bremen relies on Jens Stage (6 goals, 1 assist) and Romano Schmid (2 goals, 6 assists). Keke Topp, with 1 goal in his last 2 games, shows rising form. Not nominated for FC Union Berlin are Oliver Burke (4G/1A), Woo-yeong Jeong (2G/1A), and Christopher Trimmel (0G/2A). For Werder Bremen, Justin Njinmah (4G/0A) is not nominated.

门将

Frederik Rønnow of FC Union Berlin made 24 season appearances and kept 5 clean sheets. His form is currently declining. Mio Backhaus, the goalkeeper for Werder Bremen, played in 22 season games and also achieved 5 clean sheets. His form trend is also declining.

影响因素

FC Union Berlin scores an average of 1.21 goals at home and concedes 1.21 goals. Werder Bremen scores an average of 1.0 goals away and concedes 2.09 goals. The Stadion An der Alten Försterei has a history of an average of 2.8 goals per game. In 60% of the games, both teams scored, and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals.

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