Liga Portugal
Casa Pia - Sporting Braga
04/23/2026, 06:00 PM
预期进球
0.8
2.5
1.7
1:1
13%0:2
12%1:2
10%0:3
7%1:3
5%xG 分解
Casa Pia
Sporting Braga
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
16%
平局
27%
客胜
58%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
42%
客胜或平局
84%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Sporting Braga is the favorite for an away win with a 58% probability according to mathematical analysis
- Braga's strong away record with an average of 2.00 goals per game meets Casa Pia's low home scoring of 0.94 goals
- Casa Pia is missing players accounting for 25% of their usual starting XI goal threat (Cassiano, Rafael Brito), while Braga is missing only 11%
风险因素
- Casa Pia averaged 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating difficulty in creating scoring opportunities
- Casa Pia's recent goal production has stagnated at 0.7 goals per game, compared to a season average of 1.1 goals
- Sporting Braga's recent goal production has stagnated at 1.8 goals per game, compared to a season average of 2.1 goals
概述
Casa Pia (16th place, 26 points) host Sporting Braga (4th place, 53 points) at Estádio Pina Manique. The Liga Portugal match takes place on April 23, 2026, 8:00 PM. While Braga is fighting for European spots, Casa Pia is trying to avoid relegation.
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Casa Pia's form across all competitions: DLDLD
They achieved 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
The last match result was a draw
Sporting Braga's form across all competitions: WDWWD
They achieved 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses in their last 5 matches
The last match result was a draw
统计数据
Casa Pia averages 0.94 goals scored and 1.28 goals conceded in home games
Sporting Braga averages 2.00 goals scored and 1.08 goals conceded in away games
The Estádio Pina Manique has seen an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 of these matches, while 2 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia secured 2 wins and Sporting Braga secured 3 wins
Casa Pia scored a total of 8 goals, while Sporting Braga scored 13 goals
The last encounter on October 26, 2025, ended in a 0:4 defeat for Casa Pia, with Sporting Braga winning away
Sporting Braga has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches
关键球员
For Casa Pia, Jérémy Livolant is a key attacker with 3 season goals and 8 assists, holding an average rating of 7.05
Gaizka Larrazabal is a strong defender with 3 goals and 4 assists and a rating of 6.77
David Sousa, also in defense, contributed 2 season goals and has a rating of 6.75
For Sporting Braga, Ricardo Horta stands out with 14 season goals and 4 assists, although his current form is declining (avg 7.05)
Pau Víctor scored 7 season goals and 4 assists, maintaining stable form with a current rating of 6.98
Defender Vítor Gómez provided 1 goal and 3 assists and shows stable form with a rating of 6.89
门将
Casa Pia's goalkeeper, Patrick Sequeira, kept 6 clean sheets this season
Sporting Braga's goalkeeper Lukas Hornicek recorded 11 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Casa Pia's home games at Estádio Pina Manique average 2.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of the last 5 home matches
2 out of the last 5 home matches had over 2.5 goals