Liga Portugal
Arouca - Benfica
03/14/2026, 08:30 PM
预期进球
0.9
2.4
1.5
1:1
14%0:1
12%0:0
11%0:2
10%1:2
9%xG 分解
Arouca
Benfica
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
21%
平局
30%
客胜
49%
进球数
Over 1.5
70%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
51%
客胜或平局
79%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Benfica's strong away record: 2.09 goals scored per game, only 0.55 goals conceded
- Historical dominance by Benfica: 4 wins and 1 draw in 5 head-to-head matches with 17:2 goals
- The mathematical analysis predicts Benfica to win with a 49% probability
风险因素
- Benfica's current goal production has slowed (1.6 goals per game) compared to their season average (1.9 goals per game)
- Benfica is missing key players, including F. Aursnes (3 goals/3 assists) who is on rest
- Arouca is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals per game) than their season average (1.3 goals per game)
概述
Arouca (11th place, 26 points) host Benfica (3rd place, 59 points) at the Estádio Municipal de Arouca. The Liga Portugal match takes place on March 14, 2026, 8:30 PM. Benfica aims to close the gap to the top of the table
近期状态
Arouca's form in the last five games is WLWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). This corresponds to two wins and three losses. Arouca's recent form trend is positive, as they are currently scoring more often (1.8 goals per game) than their season average (1.3 goals per game).
Benfica shows a form of LWLWD in their last five matches. They recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses. Benfica's goal production has slowed down (1.6 goals per game) compared to their season average of 1.9 goals
统计数据
Arouca scored an average of 1.31 goals in home games and conceded 1.77 goals per match. Benfica demonstrated strong offensive performance in away games with an average of 2.09 goals scored and a very solid defense, conceding only 0.55 goals per away game. At the Estádio Municipal de Arouca, an average of 3.2 goals were scored in the last five games. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the five head-to-head encounters between the two teams, Arouca has not recorded any wins so far. Benfica dominated these matches with four wins and one draw. The goal difference of 17:2 also clearly favors Benfica. The last meeting ended in a 5-0 victory for Benfica on October 25, 2025
关键球员
For Arouca, Alfonso Trezza (8 goals, 3 assists this season) and Hyun-ju Lee (5 goals, 3 assists this season) show offensive impact. Iván Barbero contributed 5 goals and 1 assist this season. He scored 2 goals in his last 5 games.
For Benfica, Vangelis Pavlidis is the top scorer of the season with 21 goals and 4 assists. Andreas Schjelderup has 4 goals and 2 assists, while Leandro Barreiro contributed 2 goals and 3 assists
门将
Arouca's goalkeeper, Ignacio de Arruabarrena, made 8 season appearances. His counterpart Anatoliy Trubin of Benfica played in 23 season games. Arouca recorded 2 clean sheets at home this season, while Benfica achieved 7 clean sheets away
影响因素
Arouca's home strength is reflected in an average of 1.31 goals scored per home game. The Estádio Municipal de Arouca is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.2 goals per match in the last five encounters. The 'Both Teams to Score' rate is 60%, and 'Over 2.5 Goals' was exceeded in 80% of matches