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Liga Portugal

AVS - Santa Clara

03/15/2026, 03:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
AVS
1.0
Total xG
2.3
Santa Clara
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

12%

0:2

9%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
AVSSC

AVS

防守不足 (场均失2.5球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.98
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.56倍)
-0.77
状态上升 (1.3 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
+0.17
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
+0.01
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅70%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均0.9球 vs 总体0.8球)

Santa Clara

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.04
Vinícius Lopes替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
30%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

25%

平局

31%

客胜

44%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

56%

客胜或平局

75%

非平局

69%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Santa Clara with 44%
  • Santa Clara dominated all 3 previous head-to-head matches with 3 wins and a 6:2 goal difference
  • Santa Clara demonstrates a more stable defensive performance with an average of 1.24 goals conceded compared to AVS with 2.28 goals conceded per game
风险因素
  • AVS is missing Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola, which reduces the starting lineup's goal threat by a critical 30% (active goal share at 70%)
  • AVS scores an average of only 0.71 home goals per game
  • AVS shows a low number of 1.8 shots on target according to tactical analysis
概述

AVS (18th place, 10 points) host Santa Clara (16th place, 22 points) at the Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

This Liga Portugal match on March 15, 2026, 4:30 PM, is a direct clash in the relegation battle

Both teams urgently need points to avoid relegation

近期状态

AVS's form across all competitions shows 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses (LWLDD)

AVS drew their last two matches

Santa Clara also has 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses (LLDDW) and won their last game

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

According to analysis, AVS is currently scoring more frequently (1.33 goals per game) than their season average (0.78 goals per game)

Santa Clara is also scoring more frequently (1.2 goals per game) than their season average (1.07 goals per game)

Both teams show a positive form trend

统计数据

AVS scores an average of 0.71 goals in home games and concedes 1.64 goals

Over the entire season, AVS has scored an average of 0.72 goals and conceded 2.28 goals, with 3 clean sheets

Santa Clara scored an average of 0.91 goals away from home and conceded 1.55 goals

Overall, Santa Clara scored an average of 0.88 goals and conceded 1.24 goals, with 6 clean sheets

The venue has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game in 5 matches

In these matches, both teams scored in 0 out of 5 cases, and 2 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 3 past head-to-head matches, AVS has not secured a single victory

Santa Clara won all 3 encounters

The goal difference of 2:6 also clearly favors Santa Clara

The last meeting on October 25, 2025, ended with a 2:0 victory for Santa Clara

Santa Clara dominated recent encounters

关键球员

For AVS, Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete (3 season goals, recently 2 goals in 2 games, rising form trend) and Tomané (2 season goals, 1 assist, recently 1 goal and 1 assist in 2 games, rising form trend) are important offensive players

Guilherme Neiva Silva was involved in 1 goal and 1 assist this season

For Santa Clara, Serginho (4 season goals, 2 assists, rising form trend) is a key player

Gabriel Silva has scored 3 season goals

Gustavo Klismahn provided 1 season assist and 1 assist in the last 2 games, with a rising form trend

Vinícius Lopes (5 goals, 1 assist) is not nominated, which may affect the offense

门将

AVS goalkeeper Adriel has recorded 2 clean sheets in home games out of 8 season appearances

Santa Clara goalkeeper Gabriel Batista was involved in 1 clean sheet in away games and 6 overall clean sheets out of 25 season appearances

影响因素

The Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game in 5 matches

In these matches, both teams scored in 0 out of 5 cases, and 2 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

The grass surface is a factor to consider

AVS scores 0.71 goals at home and concedes 1.64 goals

Santa Clara scores 0.91 goals away and concedes 1.55 goals

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