Liga Portugal
Vitória Guimarães - Famalicão
03/14/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
12%2:0
9%2:1
9%xG 分解
Vitória Guimarães
Famalicão
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
31%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
47%
否
53%
关键因素
- Form: Famalicão's recent form of 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 games is superior to Vitória Guimarães (1 win, 1 draw)
- Defensive strength: Famalicão boasts a significantly stronger season defense with an average of 0.84 goals conceded per game compared to Vitória Guimarães (1.48 goals conceded)
- Model prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 46% and a 76% chance for a home win or draw for Vitória Guimarães
概述
Vitória Guimarães (9th place, 32 points) host Famalicão (6th place, 39 points) at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques. The Liga Portugal match takes place on March 14, 2026, 4:30 PM. Famalicão is fighting for European spots, while Vitória Guimarães seeks to climb the table
近期状态
Vitória Guimarães' current form (LWLDL) shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in the last 5 games. Their last result was a 0-2 loss against Santa Clara. Famalicão (WLWDW) is in better shape with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Famalicão won their last match 1-0 against Arouca. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Vitória Guimarães scores an average of 1.12 goals per game this season and concedes 1.48 goals. At home, they average 1.12 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded. The team kept 7 clean sheets. Famalicão averages 1.20 goals scored and concedes 0.84 goals per game. Away, their average is 1.14 goals scored and 1.71 goals conceded. Famalicão achieved 13 clean sheets. At Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, the last 5 games averaged 2.0 total goals per match. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 of 5 games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória Guimarães won 3 times, Famalicão won 1 time, and one match ended in a draw. Vitória Guimarães scored 6 goals, Famalicão 4 goals. The last encounter on October 26, 2025, ended with a 2-0 victory for Famalicão
关键球员
For Vitória Guimarães, Samu with 4 goals and 2 assists, and Noah Jose Saviolo with 2 goals and 3 assists are important offensive players. Diogo Sousa shows a rising form with 1 goal and 0 assists in the last 5 games. For Famalicão, Gil Dias with 3 goals and 6 assists, and Sorriso with 3 goals and 3 assists are key players. Gustavo Sá contributed 4 goals and 1 assist. Mathias de Amorim (3 goals, 1 assist) is not in the starting lineup, but the active squad's goal production is 100%
门将
Charles for Vitória Guimarães made 10 appearances with 0 goals and 0 assists. Lazar Carević for Famalicão played 25 games also with 0 goals and 0 assists. Vitória Guimarães recorded 7 clean sheets this season, while Famalicão finished 13 games without conceding a goal
影响因素
Vitória Guimarães averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded at home. Famalicão concedes an average of 1.71 goals per away game. At Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, the last 5 games averaged 2.0 total goals per match. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games