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Liga Portugal

Santa Clara - Gil Vicente

03/21/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 0
预期进球
Santa Clara
1.0
Total xG
2.4
Gil Vicente
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

0:1

11%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%
xG 分解
SCGV

Santa Clara

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-0.54
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第5位, 相差9位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.10
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.10
Vinícius Lopes替补席 (5球, 1助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)

Gil Vicente

排名优势 (第5位 vs 第14位, 相差9位)
+0.06
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.01
Santiago García González未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
20%进球产出缺失 (仅83%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

31%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

69%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Gil Vicente holds a clear lead in the league table in 5th place compared to Santa Clara in 14th place
  • Gil Vicente shows a stronger offense with an average of 1.55 away goals compared to Santa Clara's 0.86 home goals
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Gil Vicente with 43% probability
风险因素
  • Santa Clara's offense generates an average of only 3.0 shots on target
  • The mathematical analysis shows a high probability for a draw of 31%
  • Santa Clara has achieved two wins and two draws in the last five games, including two consecutive wins
概述

Santa Clara (14th place, 25 points) host Gil Vicente (5th place, 42 points) at Estádio de São Miguel

This Liga Portugal match is on March 21, 2026, 7:00 PM

Santa Clara battles against relegation, while Gil Vicente aims to solidify its position in the European qualification spots

近期状态

The form of both teams shows different tendencies

Santa Clara is unbeaten in four games with the form LDDWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The home team achieved 2 wins and 2 draws, including two consecutive wins recently

Gil Vicente presents itself less stable with the form WLLDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The visitors recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games, including two consecutive draws recently

统计数据

Santa Clara scores an average of 0.86 home goals per game and concedes an average of 1.0 home goals

The team kept 5 clean sheets in home games

Gil Vicente is stronger offensively away from home with an average of 1.55 away goals, but concedes 1.36 goals per away game

The Estádio de São Miguel averages 2.6 goals per game

In 2 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 2 out of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In 5 direct encounters so far, there have been no draws

Santa Clara won 3 of these matches, while Gil Vicente won 2 times

The goal difference of 6:5 goals slightly favors Santa Clara

The last encounter on November 3, 2025, ended with a 0:1 away win for Gil Vicente

The historical record indicates a home dominance

关键球员

For Santa Clara, Serginho (4 goals, 2 assists), Gabriel Silva (4 goals), and Gustavo Klismahn (1 assist) are key players

Serginho shows a stable form trend

Gabriel Silva and Gustavo Klismahn are in action, with Klismahn showing a rising form trend

For Gil Vicente, Murilo de Souza Costa (7 goals, 4 assists), Luís André Leite Esteves (3 goals, 7 assists), and Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela (4 goals, 2 assists) stand out

Murilo de Souza Costa and Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela show a rising form trend

Luís André Leite Esteves is in stable form

门将

Goalkeeper Gabriel Batista of Santa Clara recorded 7 clean sheets in 26 appearances

Lucão of Gil Vicente kept 5 clean sheets in 7 appearances

影响因素

Santa Clara averages 0.86 goals scored at home and concedes 1.0 goals

Gil Vicente scores 1.55 goals away and concedes 1.36 goals

The Estádio de São Miguel has an average of 2.6 goals per game

At this venue, both teams scored in 40% of the games, and 40% of the games had over 2.5 goals

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