Liga Portugal
Moreirense - Arouca
03/21/2026, 03:30 PM
预期进球
0.8
1.7
0.9
0:0
19%0:1
15%1:1
15%1:0
12%0:2
8%xG 分解
Moreirense
Arouca
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
27%
平局
37%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
54%
Under 1.5
46%
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
Over 3.5
10%
Under 3.5
90%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
73%
非平局
63%
双方进球
是
35%
否
65%
关键因素
- Moreirense with only 21% of usual starting XI goal threat due to 6 key players missing
- Arouca with only 9% of usual starting XI goal threat due to 6 key players missing
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 73% Double Chance (Draw or Away Win) for Arouca
风险因素
- Moreirense shows a stagnant goal production of 0.8 goals per game in recent form
- Arouca concedes an average of 2.50 goals per away game
- The probability for over 2.5 goals is only 25% according to the model
概述
Moreirense (8th place, 35 points) host Arouca (13th place, 26 points) at the Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Liga Portugal match on March 21, 2026, 4:30 PM
Both teams are positioned in the mid-table
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Moreirense's form in the last five league games is WLDDL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses)
The team achieved 1 win and 2 draws in this period
According to the analysis, Moreirense's goal production is currently stagnant (0.8 goals), while the season average is 1.2 goals
Arouca's form in the last five league games is LWLLL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses)
They recorded 1 win during this time
Arouca scores consistently (an average of 1.4 goals per game)
统计数据
Moreirense scores an average of 1.19 goals per game and concedes 1.46 goals
They kept 7 clean sheets and there were 13 games where both teams scored
Arouca scores an average of 1.27 goals per game and concedes 2.12 goals
They kept 5 clean sheets and there were 14 games where both teams scored
At the Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, an average of 2.0 goals per game are scored
In 2 of 5 games, both teams scored, and 2 of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense recorded 4 wins and Arouca 1 win
Moreirense scored a total of 7 goals, Arouca 2 goals
The last encounter on November 2, 2025, ended with a 2-0 victory for Moreirense
Moreirense has been dominant in recent direct duels
关键球员
Travassos (Defender) of Moreirense scored 4 goals and 3 assists this season with an average rating of 6.87
His form is stable
José Fontán (Defender) of Arouca recorded 1 goal and 3 assists this season with a rating of 6.69
His form is declining
门将
Moreirense's goalkeeper, André Ferreira, contributed to 7 clean sheets this season
Arouca's goalkeeper, Ignacio de Arruabarrena, contributed to 5 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Moreirense scored an average of 1.23 goals in home games and conceded 1.31 goals
Arouca conceded an average of 2.50 goals away and scored 1.25 goals
The pitch at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas is natural grass
The stadium records an average of 2.0 goals per game, with 2 of 5 games where both teams scored, and 2 of 5 games with over 2.5 goals