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Liga Portugal

Alverca - Sporting CP

03/22/2026, 06:00 PM

1 : 4
预期进球
Alverca
1.2
Total xG
2.9
Sporting CP
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
ALVSC

Alverca

排名劣势 (第10位 vs 第3位, 相差7位)
-0.09
状态上升 (1.2 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.06
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.01
Marko Milovanović替补席 (7球, 1助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅82%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1球)

Sporting CP

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.41倍)
+0.53
防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.39
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第10位, 相差7位)
+0.06
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.6球)
+0.04
Maxi Araújo未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.8球 vs 总体2.5球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

27%

客胜

46%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

54%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

73%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Sporting CP is favored with a 46% win probability according to pipeline analysis
  • Sporting CP shows strong away form with 3 wins in the last 5 games, while Alverca recorded 5 consecutive draws
  • Sporting CP has a superior offense (2.56 goals/game) and defense (0.56 goals conceded/game) compared to Alverca's stats (1.0 goals/game, 1.58 goals conceded/game)
风险因素
  • Alverca averages only 3.4 shots on target, indicating low offensive efficiency
  • Limited data availability for xG values in Sporting CP's recent away matches
概述

Alverca (10th place, 29 points) hosts Sporting CP (3rd place, 62 points) at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca. Liga Portugal match on March 22, 2026, 7:00 PM. Sporting CP is in the title race, while Alverca is in the mid-table. The mathematical analysis gives Sporting CP a 46% probability of winning.

近期状态

Alverca's form in their last five league matches is 'DDDDD', which means 0 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses. Their last match ended in a draw. Sporting CP, on the other hand, displayed a form of 'WWDLW' in their last five games, corresponding to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Sporting CP's last game ended in a win. Sporting CP recently showed strong attacking performance with a 5-0 home win and two 3-0 away wins.

统计数据

Alverca has scored an average of 1.0 goals per game and conceded 1.58 goals per game this season. Sporting CP, however, demonstrated a strong offense with an average of 2.56 goals per game and a solid defense conceding only 0.56 goals per game. Alverca kept 6 clean sheets, while Sporting CP had 13. At Alverca's home stadium, an average of 1.6 goals per game were scored. Both teams scored in 60% of the matches, while over 2.5 goals were scored in 20% of the matches. Alverca is currently scoring more frequently (1.3) than their season average (1.0). Sporting CP consistently scores (~2.5 goals per game).

历史交锋

In 1 head-to-head match, Alverca has 0 home wins, Sporting CP has 1 away win, and there have been no draws. Sporting CP scored 2 goals, while Alverca remained goalless. The last direct encounter on October 31, 2025, ended with a 0-2 away win for Sporting CP. Recent direct encounters show a dominance by the away team.

关键球员

For Alverca, key players include Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos (2 goals, 4 assists, avg 7.09), Figueiredo (3 goals, 1 assist, avg 6.90), and Nabil Touaizi (1 goal, 3 assists, avg 6.74). For Sporting CP, Luis Suárez (23 goals, 4 assists, avg 7.63), Pedro Gonçalves (10 goals, 6 assists, avg 7.62), and Francisco Trincão (5 goals, 10 assists, avg 7.36) are prominent.

门将

Alverca's goalkeeper, André Nogueira Gomes, has made 24 appearances this season. His counterpart for Sporting CP is Rui Silva, who has played in 23 games. Alverca has finished 6 games with a clean sheet this season, while Sporting CP has recorded 13 clean sheets.

影响因素

The match takes place at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca on grass. Alverca scored an average of 1.0 goals at home and conceded 1.45 goals. Sporting CP scored an average of 2.55 goals away and conceded 0.91 goals. The stadium has seen an average of 1.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 60% of cases.

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