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Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund - FC Augsburg

03/14/2026, 02:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Borussia Dortmund
2.4
Total xG
3.6
FC Augsburg
1.2
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

3:1

8%

3:0

6%

2:2

6%

4:1

5%
xG 分解
BDFA

Borussia Dortmund

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.22倍)
+1.00
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.42
状态下滑 (1.6 vs 2.1 赛季平均)
-0.15
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.09
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第9位, 相差7位)
+0.08
Serhou Guirassy替补席 (12球, 2助攻)
Julian Brandt替补席 (6球, 3助攻)
Ramy Bensebaini未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
35%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)

FC Augsburg

防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
+0.36
排名劣势 (第9位 vs 第2位, 相差7位)
-0.09
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.03
Mert Kömür替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Noahkai Banks替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

64%

平局

20%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

70%

Under 2.5

30%

Over 3.5

49%

Under 3.5

51%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

36%

非平局

80%

双方进球

65%

35%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 64% for Borussia Dortmund
  • Borussia Dortmund's home offense averages 2.15 goals scored and concedes only 0.85 goals
  • FC Augsburg concedes an average of 2.18 goals per away game
风险因素
  • Borussia Dortmund's goal production is currently stagnating with 1.6 goals compared to the season average of 2.1 goals
  • The home team achieved an average of only 3.2 shots on target per game
概述

Borussia Dortmund (2nd place, 55 points) host FC Augsburg (9th place, 31 points) at Signal Iduna Park. Bundesliga match on March 14, 2026, 3:30 PM. BVB aims to solidify their position in the top group, while Augsburg wants to maintain distance from the relegation zone

近期状态

Borussia Dortmund's form across all competitions is WDLLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their last result was a Win (W). The form trend is negative, with goal production stagnating at 1.6 goals, compared to the season average of 2.1. FC Augsburg shows LWWWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Their last result was a Loss (L). Their form trend is stable, with consistent ~1.3 goals per game

统计数据

Borussia Dortmund scored 2.12 goals and conceded 1.04 goals per game this season. At home, they score 2.15 goals while conceding only 0.85 goals. They kept 11 clean sheets. Augsburg averages 1.24 goals and 1.72 goals conceded. Away, they score 1.27 goals and concede a high 2.18 goals per game. They recorded 5 clean sheets. At Signal Iduna Park, an average of 3.6 goals per game are scored. In 2/5 games, both teams scored, and in 3/5, over 2.5 goals were scored

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, there were 2 wins each for Borussia Dortmund and FC Augsburg, and 1 draw. Dortmund scored 8 goals, Augsburg 5. The last encounter on October 31, 2025, ended in a 1-0 victory for Borussia Dortmund. The recent record is even

关键球员

Dortmund's Maximilian Beier is important with 8 goals and 4 assists (Rating 6.88). Julian Ryerson (11 seasonal assists, 3 assists in the last 5 games, Rating 9.16) shows a rising form trend. Nico Schlotterbeck contributed 4 goals and 1 assist (Rating 7.38). Augsburg's Alexis Claude-Maurice (4 goals, 5 assists, Rating 7.11) is a key player. Fabian Rieder provided 3 goals and 3 assists. Rodrigo Ribeiro scored 2 goals in 5 appearances (Rating 7.01)

门将

Gregor Kobel (Borussia Dortmund) kept 11 clean sheets. Finn Dahmen (FC Augsburg) recorded 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Borussia Dortmund shows strong home performance with an average of 2.15 goals scored and only 0.85 goals conceded. At Signal Iduna Park, an average of 3.6 goals per game are scored. In 2/5 games, both teams scored, and in 3/5, over 2.5 goals were scored

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