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Liga Portugal

Tondela - AVS

03/21/2026, 08:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Tondela
1.5
Total xG
2.4
AVS
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

11%

0:0

10%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
TONAVS

Tondela

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.20
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.17
状态上升 (1.4 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
+0.17
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
+0.01
主场表现强势 (场均1.2球 vs 总体0.8球)

AVS

防守不足 (场均失2.4球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+1.21
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.56倍)
-0.35
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (1 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
+0.07
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.04
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
26%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

48%

平局

30%

客胜

23%

进球数

Over 1.5

72%

Under 1.5

28%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

77%

客胜或平局

52%

非平局

70%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Pipeline probability: Tondela has a higher win probability at 47%
  • Home advantage: Tondela scores an average of 0.75 goals at home, and AVS concedes 2.83 goals away
  • Form trend: Both teams show a positive offensive form trend according to the analysis
风险因素
  • Home goals: Tondela only scores an average of 0.75 goals per home game
  • Data availability: Only 1 head-to-head match available, limiting historical analysis
  • Injury: AVS is without Player 529504 (Broken Leg)
概述

Tondela (17th place, 19 points) host AVS (18th place, 10 points) at Estádio João Cardoso

This Liga Portugal match takes place on March 21, 2026, 9:30 PM

It is a basement clash where both teams will try to collect important points in the relegation battle

近期状态

Tondela's form in the last five Liga Portugal matches is DDWDL

This corresponds to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

The pipeline analysis indicates a positive form trend for Tondela, as they are currently scoring more frequently (1.4 goals) than their season average (0.8 goals)

AVS has a form of WLDDL in their last five matches

This means 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

AVS also shows a positive form trend according to the pipeline analysis, with currently 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 0.8 goals

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Tondela scores an average of 0.76 goals per game and concedes 1.56 goals

At home, Tondela averages 0.75 goals scored and 1.42 goals conceded

AVS scores an average of 0.69 goals per game and concedes 2.23 goals

Away, AVS averages 0.67 goals scored and 2.83 goals conceded

Both teams scored in 9 of Tondela's matches and in 10 of AVS's matches

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 13 of Tondela's matches and in 16 of AVS's matches

历史交锋

There has only been 1 head-to-head match between Tondela and AVS so far

This match ended in a 2:2 draw on November 2, 2025

The goal difference in direct encounters is balanced with 2 goals for Tondela and 2 goals for AVS

Historical dominance is thus even

关键球员

For Tondela, Maranhão is important with 6 season goals and 1 assist, showing a rising form trend

Makan Aïko has 1 season assist and a rising form trend

João Silva scored 1 season goal and also has a rising form trend

For AVS, Tomané is noteworthy with 2 season goals and 1 assist, showing a rising form trend

Pedro Lima Barros contributed 1 season goal and 2 assists

Óscar Perea scored 2 season goals

Not nominated for AVS are Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete (3G/0A) and Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola (1G/2A)

门将

Tondela's goalkeeper, Bernardo, played in 25 season matches and kept 4 clean sheets

For AVS, Adriel played in 9 season matches and achieved 3 clean sheets

影响因素

The match takes place at Estádio João Cardoso on grass

Tondela's home strength is evident with an average of 0.75 goals scored and 1.42 goals conceded per home game

AVS's away weakness is notable with an average of 0.67 goals scored and 2.83 goals conceded per away game

The stadium history shows an average of 1.6 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurring in 1 of 5 games

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