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Liga Portugal

Estoril - Rio Ave

03/22/2026, 03:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Estoril
1.6
Total xG
2.2
Rio Ave
0.6
最可能的比分

1:0

16%

2:0

14%

0:0

13%

1:1

12%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
ESTRA

Estoril

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.32
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.26
排名优势 (第7位 vs 第14位, 相差7位)
+0.05
Alejandro Marqués替补席 (4球, 0助攻)

Rio Ave

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.34倍)
-0.77
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.08
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第7位, 相差7位)
-0.05
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1.1球)
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

58%

平局

28%

客胜

13%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

37%

Under 2.5

63%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

87%

客胜或平局

42%

非平局

72%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: Estoril has a 58% win probability
  • Home strength vs. Away weakness: Estoril's home offense (Avg. 1.86 goals) meets Rio Ave's weak away defense (Avg. 1.85 goals conceded)
  • Head-to-head record: Estoril dominated the last 5 encounters with 3 wins and 2 draws
风险因素
  • Estoril's goal production is currently faltering (Avg. 1.0 goals), while the season average is Avg. 1.9 goals
  • Rio Ave scores consistently (Avg. 1.0 goals per game), according to Advanced Stats
  • K. Boma (Estoril) is injured (Muscle Injury), B. Aguilera Zamora (Rio Ave) is injured (Cruciate Ligament Tear)
概述

Estoril (7th place, 37 points) host Rio Ave (14th place, 27 points) at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. The Liga Portugal match takes place on March 22, 2026, 4:30 PM. Estoril aims to solidify its position in the upper mid-table, while Rio Ave fights against relegation.

近期状态

Estoril's Liga Portugal form is LWLDW, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last appearance was a 1-0 away win against Nacional

Rio Ave shows a form of LLDWW, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Their last game ended in a 2-1 home win against Estrela Amadora

Estoril's goal production is faltering (Avg. 1.0 goals recently), while their season average is Avg. 1.9 goals

统计数据

Estoril scores an average of 1.81 goals per game and concedes 1.62 goals

At home, these values improve to Avg. 1.86 goals scored and Avg. 1.21 goals conceded

Rio Ave scores an average of 1.0 goals per game and concedes 1.73 goals

Away, the average is Avg. 1.0 goals scored and Avg. 1.85 goals conceded

Historically, games at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota average 3.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril dominated with 3 wins, while Rio Ave remained winless with 2 draws

Estoril scored a total of 11 goals, Rio Ave 4 goals in these encounters

The last meeting saw Estoril win 4-0 on November 1, 2025

关键球员

Yanis Begraoui, Estoril's attacker, scored 17 season goals and 1 assist, but shows a declining form trend

João Carvalho, Estoril's midfielder, contributed 6 goals and 11 assists, with stable form

Jalen Blesa, Rio Ave's attacker, scored 4 times, his form is stable

Andreas Ntoi, Rio Ave's defender, provided 2 assists and shows a rising form trend

门将

Estoril's goalkeeper Joel Robles recorded 5 clean sheets this season

Ennio Van Der Gouw, Rio Ave's goalkeeper, achieved 4 clean sheets

影响因素

Estoril shows a clear home advantage with Avg. 1.86 goals scored and Avg. 1.21 goals conceded in home games

Rio Ave concedes Avg. 1.85 goals away, which weakens their defense

The Estádio António Coimbra da Mota is known for high-scoring encounters with an average of 3.8 goals per game

80% of matches at this stadium saw both teams score

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