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Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora - Casa Pia

03/20/2026, 08:15 PM

4 : 0
预期进球
Estrela Amadora
1.3
Total xG
2.3
Casa Pia
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

8%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
EACP

Estrela Amadora

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.55
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.10
Jefferson Encada未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

Casa Pia

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.49倍)
-0.28
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.11
Korede Osundina替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

31%

客胜

27%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

73%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

69%

双方进球

48%

52%

关键因素
  • Home Win Probability: The mathematical analysis predicts a 41% chance for Estrela Amadora
  • Form trend: Estrela Amadora's goal production is stalling (recent 1.0, season average 1.3)
  • Opponent form: Casa Pia is currently scoring more often (recent 1.3, season average 1.2)
风险因素
  • Casa Pia with 2.4 shots on target per game (few shots on target)
  • Casa Pia concedes an average of 2.20 goals conceded per away game
概述

Estrela Amadora (14th place, 25 points) host Casa Pia (15th place, 24 points) at Estádio José Gomes. Liga Portugal match on March 20, 2026, 09:15 PM. Both teams are battling in the lower mid-table for crucial points to secure their position.

近期状态

Estrela Amadora's form across all competitions: LLDDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team recorded 0 Wins, 2 Draws, and 3 Losses

Casa Pia's form across all competitions: DWLDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team recorded 1 Win, 3 Draws, and 1 Loss

统计数据

Estrela Amadora scored an average of 1.12 goal per game, while Casa Pia averaged 1.04 goal per game

Estrela Amadora conceded an average of 1.73 goal conceded per game, while Casa Pia conceded 1.76 goal conceded per game

Estrela Amadora kept 6 clean sheets, Casa Pia kept 5 clean sheets

At Estádio José Gomes, there was an average of 3.6 goals/game

Statistics at Estádio José Gomes show 2/5 for Both teams scored, and 3/5 goals over 2.5

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches:

Estrela Amadora won 3 times, Casa Pia won 2 times

There were 0 Draws

The last encounter on November 01, 2025, 07:00 PM ended 5:3 in favor of home

Estrela Amadora scored a total of 9 Goals, while Casa Pia scored 6 Goals

关键球员

Estrela Amadora:

Jovane Cabral (Attacker): 5 Goals, 0 Assists, Avg. rating 7.13

Abraham Marcus (Attacker): 4 Goals, 3 Assists, Avg. rating 7.00

Paulo Moreira (Midfielder): 3 Goals, 2 Assists, Avg. rating 6.63

Casa Pia:

Jérémy Livolant (Attacker): 3 Goals, 7 Assists, Avg. rating 7.08

Gaizka Larrazabal (Defender): 3 Goals, 4 Assists, Avg. rating 6.78

Cassiano (Attacker): 5 Goals, 0 Assists, Avg. rating 6.66

门将

Goalkeeper Renan Ribeiro (Estrela Amadora) with avg. rating 6.79 and 6 clean sheets

Goalkeeper Patrick Sequeira (Casa Pia) with avg. rating 6.66 and 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Estrela Amadora scores an average of 1.14 goals per home game and concedes 1.50 goals conceded per home game

Casa Pia scores 1.00 goals per away game and concedes 2.20 goals conceded per away game

The Stadium (Estádio José Gomes) statistics show: 3.6 Tore/Spiel, 2/5 BTTS, 3/5 Over 2.5

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