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Liga Portugal

Sporting Braga - Porto

03/22/2026, 08:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Sporting Braga
1.4
Total xG
2.7
Porto
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
SBPOR

Sporting Braga

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.62
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.65倍)
-0.21
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.03
全员可用

Porto

防守实力 (场均失0.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.69
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.13
状态上升 (2.4 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.13
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.59倍)
+0.06
Alberto Costa替补席 (0球, 6助攻)
Pablo Rosario替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

29%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

71%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • Porto's Defensive Strength: Porto (1st place) has conceded only 0.38 goals per game this season (0.46 away), with 18 clean sheets
  • Porto's Strong Form and H2H Dominance: Porto has achieved 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games, including a 3-game winning streak, and won 4 of the last 5 direct encounters
  • Sporting Braga's Home Offensive Power: Sporting Braga shows consistent attacking performance at home with an average of 2.08 goals per game
风险因素
  • Limited recovery time for Porto: Porto has had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Key players missing for Porto: Porto is missing S. Omorodion Aghehowa (13 goals, 1 assist), L. de Jong (1 goal), and N. Pérez (1 goal) due to long-term injuries
概述

Sporting Braga (4th place, 46 points) host Porto (1st place, 69 points) at the Estádio Municipal de Braga. The Liga Portugal match takes place on March 22, 2026, 9:30 PM. Porto aims to defend its league lead, while Sporting Braga seeks to solidify its 4th position.

近期状态

Sporting Braga's form in their last five matches across all competitions is WWDLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their last result was a 4-0 victory. Porto is in stronger form with WDWWW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) and is unbeaten in their last three games. Their latest win was a 2-0 scoreline.

统计数据

Sporting Braga averages 2.08 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per game this season. At home, these figures are 2.08 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded. Porto averages 2.00 goals scored and only 0.38 goals conceded per game. Away from home, their average is 1.92 goals scored and 0.46 goals conceded. Sporting Braga has kept 9 clean sheets this season, while Porto has 18. The venue has seen an average of 4.2 total goals in the last 5 games, with both teams scoring in 40% of matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 100% of games. The mathematical analysis predicts 1.41 goals for Sporting Braga and 1.30 goals for Porto.

历史交锋

In the last five direct encounters, Porto dominated with 4 wins, while Sporting Braga secured 1 win. There were no draws. Porto scored a total of 7 goals and Sporting Braga 3 goals in these matches. The last meeting on November 2, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Porto.

关键球员

For Sporting Braga, key players in the starting lineup include Rodrigo Zalazar (14 goals, 4 assists), Ricardo Horta (13 goals, 4 assists), and Pau Víctor (6 goals, 4 assists). For Porto, Victor Froholdt (4 goals, 6 assists), Gabri Veiga (2 goals, 6 assists), and Pepê (2 goals, 4 assists) are among the crucial players in their starting formation.

门将

Sporting Braga's goalkeeper, Lukas Hornicek, has kept 9 clean sheets this season. Porto's goalkeeper, Diogo Costa, achieved 18 clean sheets this campaign.

影响因素

The Estádio Municipal de Braga, a grass pitch, has shown to be high-scoring in the last 5 games with an average of 4.2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 100% of games. Sporting Braga has a strong home record with an average of 2.08 goals scored and only 0.85 goals conceded. Porto displays a very good away offense with 1.92 goals per game and an outstanding defense with only 0.46 goals conceded per away game.

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