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Liga Portugal

Porto - Famalicão

04/04/2026, 07:30 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Porto
1.5
Total xG
2.2
Famalicão
0.7
最可能的比分

1:0

15%

1:1

13%

0:0

12%

2:0

12%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
PORFAM

Porto

防守实力 (场均失0.5球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.99
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.07
Gabri Veiga未进大名单 (2球, 6助攻)
Deniz Gül替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅98%可用)

Famalicão

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-0.78
防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.28
最近5场中4场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.05
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.4球)
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

29%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

71%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 54% for Porto, supported by their strong home record with an average of 1.93 goals scored and only 0.29 goals conceded
  • Porto has a dominant record in head-to-head matches against Famalicão with 3 wins and 2 draws out of 5 games
  • Famalicão concedes an average of 1.62 goals per away game, highlighting their defensive vulnerability away from home
风险因素
  • Information on duels won in the last 5 matches is not available due to limited data
概述

Porto (1st place, 72 points) hosts Famalicão (6th place, 45 points) at the Estádio Do Dragão. This Liga Portugal match takes place on April 4, 2026, 8:30 PM. Porto enters the game as a clear favorite and aims to consolidate its league lead.

近期状态

Porto is in strong form with a record of DWWWW from their last five matches, consisting of 4 wins and 1 draw. Porto won their last game. Famalicão also shows an impressive form of WDWWW, with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five outings. The team has won its last three matches. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Porto averages 1.93 home goals per game and concedes only 0.29 goals in their home stadium. Famalicão scores an average of 1.25 goals away but concedes 1.62 goals. At the Estádio Do Dragão, an average of 2.4 goals were scored in the last 5 matches. In 40% of these games, both teams scored, and also 40% ended with over 2.5 goals.

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto dominates with 3 wins compared to 0 for Famalicão, with 2 draws. Porto scored 9 goals during this period, while Famalicão managed 4. The last encounter on November 9, 2025, ended with a 1-0 victory for Porto.

关键球员

For Porto, Victor Froholdt shows rising form with 2 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 games and an average rating of 7.32. Oskar Pietuszewski scored 3 goals and provided 2 assists in his last 5 appearances with stable form. Alberto Costa, a defender, was important for the team with 6 assists in 22 season appearances. For Famalicão, Gil Dias impressed in the last 5 games with 2 assists and rising form with a rating of 7.38. Sorriso recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games. Justin de Haas, a defender, scored 1 goal in his last 5 appearances and showed stable form.

门将

Diogo Costa, Porto's goalkeeper, has achieved 18 clean sheets this season. His form is rising with an average rating of 7.34 in the last 5 games. Lazar Carević, Famalicão's goalkeeper, recorded 14 clean sheets this season. His form is also rising, with a rating of 7.52 in the last 5 matches.

影响因素

Porto shows a strong home advantage, averaging 1.93 home goals scored and only 0.29 home goals conceded per game. The Estádio Do Dragão records an average of 2.4 goals per game, with a BTTS rate of 40% and an Over 2.5 rate of 40% in the last five matches. Famalicão concedes an average of 1.62 goals away from home.

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