Liga Portugal
Casa Pia - Benfica
04/06/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
0.8
3.3
2.5
0:2
11%0:3
10%1:2
9%1:1
8%1:3
8%xG 分解
Casa Pia
Benfica
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
9%
平局
17%
客胜
74%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
双重机会
主胜或平局
26%
客胜或平局
91%
非平局
83%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a high win probability of 74% for Benfica
- Benfica averaged 4.4 shots on target in recent games, compared to just 2.2 for Casa Pia
- Benfica's strong away record with only 0.58 goals conceded meets Casa Pia's vulnerable home defense conceding 1.38 goals on average
风险因素
- Benfica conceded an average of 1.2 goals in recent form, compared to their season average of 0.63 goals
- Estádio Pina Manique has a 100% BTTS rate in the last 4 matches
- The last direct encounter between both teams ended in a 2:2 draw
概述
Casa Pia (16th place, 24 points) host Benfica (3rd place, 65 points) at Estádio Pina Manique
Liga Portugal match on April 6, 2026, 8:45 PM
Benfica are fighting for the top spots in the league
近期状态
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Casa Pia shows a form of WLDDL, with one win, two draws, and two losses in the last five matches
Their last game resulted in a loss
Benfica's form is LWDWW, corresponding to three wins, one draw, and one loss
The team has won two consecutive matches
统计数据
Casa Pia averages 1.0 goals per game and concedes 1.85 goals per match
At home, they score an average of 1.0 goals and concede 1.38 goals
Benfica shows strong offensive power with an average of 2.15 goals per game and a very stable defense, conceding only 0.63 goals
Away from home, Benfica scores an average of 2.08 goals and concedes 0.58 goals
At Estádio Pina Manique, an average of 4.0 goals per game are scored, and both teams scored in all four matches
Three out of four games ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In five head-to-head matches, Casa Pia recorded one win, Benfica two wins, and there were two draws
Benfica scored eight goals, while Casa Pia scored six
The last encounter on November 9, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw
Recent matchups have shown dominance from the away team
关键球员
For Casa Pia, Jérémy Livolant (3 goals, 7 assists, avg 7.07 rating) and Cassiano (5 goals, 0 assists, avg 6.70 rating, 3 goals in last 5 games with rising form) are crucial
Gaizka Larrazabal also contributes with 3 goals and 4 assists (avg 6.76 rating)
For Benfica, Vangelis Pavlidis stands out with 22 goals and 4 assists (avg 7.35 rating)
Andreas Schjelderup (4 goals, 3 assists, avg 6.96 rating) and Richard Ríos (1 goal, 3 assists, avg 7.05 rating, 1 goal and 2 assists in last 5 games) are also key offensive players
Not nominated are Leandro Barreiro (2G/3A), Gianluca Prestianni (3G/2A), Amar Dedić (1G/3A), and Tomás Araújo (1G/1A), which reduces the usual starting lineup strength to 85%
门将
Patrick Sequeira is Casa Pia's goalkeeper with 5 clean sheets in 21 appearances and a season average rating of 6.64
His recent form is slightly declining
For Benfica, Anatoliy Trubin is in goal, keeping 13 clean sheets in 25 games and holding a season average rating of 6.77
His form is stable
影响因素
At Estádio Pina Manique, an average of 4.0 goals per game are scored, with 100% of matches seeing both teams score and 75% having over 2.5 goals
Casa Pia scores an average of 1.0 goals at home and concedes 1.38 goals
Benfica is particularly strong away from home, scoring an average of 2.08 goals and conceding only 0.58 goals per game