Liga Portugal
Arouca - Estoril
04/06/2026, 05:45 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.7
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Arouca
Estoril
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
28%
客胜
42%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
双重机会
主胜或平局
58%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
57%
否
43%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: Estoril is the slight favorite with a 42% win probability compared to Arouca (30%)
- Offensive Strength: Estoril scores significantly more goals on average (1.78) than Arouca (1.26) this season
- Home Defensive Weakness: Arouca concedes an average of 1.79 goals per home game
风险因素
- Estoril averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating lower efficiency
- Estoril concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away game
- Limited data availability for total duels for both teams in the last 5 games
概述
Arouca (12th place, 29 points) host Estoril (7th place, 37 points) at Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Liga Portugal match on April 6, 2026, 6:45 PM
Estoril are favorites in this encounter and look to consolidate their upper mid-table position
Arouca need points to distance themselves from the relegation zone
近期状态
Arouca's form in their last five Liga Portugal matches is WLLLW
The team recorded 2 wins and 3 losses in this period
Their last outing was a 1-0 away win against Moreirense
Estoril's form in their last five Liga Portugal matches is WLDWL
This translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Their most recent match was a 1-2 home loss against Rio Ave
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Arouca averages 1.26 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 2.04 goals
In home games, Arouca scores 1.29 goals and concedes 1.79 goals on average
Estoril is stronger offensively with an average of 1.78 goals per game, conceding 1.63 goals
Away from home, Estoril scores 1.75 goals and concedes an average of 2.08 goals
The Estádio Municipal de Arouca sees an average of 3.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches at this stadium
All 5 matches at the stadium had over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head Liga Portugal matches, the record between Arouca and Estoril is balanced
Both teams have secured 2 wins each, with 1 match ending in a draw
Arouca scored 11 goals, while Estoril found the net 13 times
The last encounter on November 7, 2025, saw Estoril win 4-3 away
关键球员
For Arouca, Naïs Djouahra stands out as an attacker with 6 goals and 2 assists
Iván Barbero contributes to the offense with 6 goals and 1 assist
Hyun-ju Lee in midfield has scored 5 goals and 3 assists
At Estoril, Yanis Begraoui is the top scorer with 17 goals and 1 assist
João Carvalho shines in midfield with 6 goals and 11 assists
Jordan Holsgrove is another important midfielder with 1 goal and 7 assists
门将
Arouca's goalkeeper, Ignacio de Arruabarrena, has an average rating of 6.88 this season
Arouca's team has recorded 6 clean sheets
Joel Robles guards the goal for Estoril with an average rating of 6.73 this season
Estoril's team has achieved 5 clean sheets
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at Estádio Municipal de Arouca
The venue shows a high goal average, with 3.6 goals per game on average
Both teams scored in 80% of matches at this stadium, and 100% ended with over 2.5 goals
Arouca's home performance shows 1.29 goals scored and 1.79 goals conceded on average