Liga Portugal
Moreirense - Sporting Braga
04/04/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
0.7
2.3
1.6
0:1
14%1:1
13%0:2
12%0:0
12%1:2
9%xG 分解
Moreirense
Sporting Braga
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
16%
平局
29%
客胜
55%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
45%
客胜或平局
84%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
43%
否
57%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a 55% probability for an away win for Sporting Braga, compared to only 16% for Moreirense
- Current Form: Moreirense is in a negative form phase with no wins in their last five games (LDDLL). Goal production has stalled (0.4 goals recently)
- Head-to-Head Record: Sporting Braga has won all 5 direct encounters against Moreirense, dominating recent matchups
风险因素
- Moreirense averaged 2.8 shots on target in their last 5 games, indicating low offensive penetration
- Moreirense's goal production has stalled (0.4), while the season average is 1.2
- Sporting Braga's goal production has stalled (1.8), while the season average is 2.1
概述
Moreirense (9th place, 35 points) host Sporting Braga (4th place, 46 points) at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Liga Portugal match on April 4, 2026, 6:00 PM. Moreirense aim to climb the mid-table, while Sporting Braga look to consolidate their position in the top half
近期状态
Moreirense shows poor form with LDDLL (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses). Their last game was a 0-1 home loss against Arouca. Sporting Braga's form is mixed with WDLWL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). They recently lost 1-2 at home against Porto
统计数据
Moreirense averages 1.15 goals scored per game and concedes 1.44 goals. At home, they score 1.14 and concede 1.29 goals per game, with 3 home clean sheets. Sporting Braga is offensively stronger, averaging 2.04 goals per game and conceding 1.04 goals. Away from home, they score 2.08 goals and concede 1.17 goals per match, with 4 away clean sheets. The venue has an average of 2.0 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Braga secured 5 wins, and Moreirense had 0 wins. All 5 games ended without a draw. Sporting Braga scored 11 goals and Moreirense 5 goals. The last encounter was won by Sporting Braga away with a 2-1 score on November 9, 2025. Sporting Braga dominated recent encounters
关键球员
For Moreirense, Alan de Souza Guimarães (Midfielder, 3 goals, 5 assists), Travassos (Defender, 4 goals, 3 assists), and Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga (Defender, 3 goals) are key players. For Sporting Braga, Ricardo Horta (Attacker, 13 goals, 4 assists), Pau Víctor (Attacker, 6 goals, 4 assists), and Gabri Martínez (Attacker, 2 goals in last 5 games, 3 season assists) stand out
门将
In goal for Moreirense is André Ferreira, who kept 7 clean sheets this season. For Sporting Braga, Lukas Hornicek is the goalkeeper, achieving 9 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The home advantage for Moreirense is indicated by an average of 1.14 home goals scored and 1.29 home goals conceded. Sporting Braga, however, is strong away from home with 2.08 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per game. The venue records an average of 2.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 40% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 40% of matches