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Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente - AVS

04/03/2026, 02:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Gil Vicente
1.5
Total xG
2.3
AVS
0.8
最可能的比分

1:0

14%

1:1

13%

2:0

12%

0:0

12%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
GVAVS

Gil Vicente

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.11
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第18位, 相差12位)
+0.09
全员可用

AVS

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-0.51
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (0 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
-0.23
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第6位, 相差12位)
-0.10
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

54%

平局

29%

客胜

17%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

40%

Under 2.5

60%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

83%

客胜或平局

46%

非平局

71%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • Predicted Home Win: The mathematical analysis indicates a 54% probability for a Gil Vicente home win
  • Gil Vicente's Home Strength vs AVS's Away Weakness: Gil Vicente averages 1.47 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded at home, whereas AVS only scores 0.67 goals and concedes 2.83 goals away
  • Tactical Differences: Gil Vicente averaged 4.2 shots on target in recent matches, compared to AVS's 1.8
风险因素
  • Low Offensive Threat from AVS: AVS averaged 1.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • AVS's Away Defensive Weakness: AVS concedes an average of 2.83 goals per away game
  • Injuries at AVS: G. Molina Gutiérrez (Broken Fibula) and A. Baroan (Broken Leg) are out
概述

Gil Vicente (6th place, 42 points) hosts AVS (18th place, 11 points) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. The Liga Portugal match takes place on April 3, 2026, 4:30 PM. Gil Vicente aims to consolidate its mid-table position, while AVS at the bottom of the table fights for crucial points

近期状态

Gil Vicente is currently in a form crisis, having recorded no wins in their last five matches (LLDDL). The team suffered three losses and drew twice. Their last game ended in a 0-1 defeat against Santa Clara. AVS also shows poor form with (LDDLD) in their last five outings, with three draws and two losses. In their last match, AVS achieved a 0-0 draw against Tondela. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Gil Vicente has averaged 1.44 goals scored per game and conceded 1.04 goals per game this season. At home, they are stronger with an average of 1.47 goals scored and only 0.8 goals conceded per game. They kept 10 clean sheets. AVS shows a significantly weaker record, with an average of 0.67 goals scored and 2.15 goals conceded per game. Away from home, their defense is particularly vulnerable, conceding 2.83 goals per game while scoring only 0.67 goals. AVS has kept 4 clean sheets this season. At Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, an average of 3.6 goals were scored in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 games (80%) and over 2.5 goals in all 5 games (100%)

历史交锋

In three direct encounters between the two teams, the record is even. Gil Vicente and AVS have each secured one win, while one match ended in a draw. Gil Vicente scored a total of 5 goals, AVS 4 goals. The last meeting on November 9, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw

关键球员

For Gil Vicente, Santiago García González is an important player with 6 goals and 3 assists and an average rating of 7.14, showing a rising form trend. Murilo de Souza Costa contributed with 7 goals and 4 assists and an average rating of 6.96. Luís André Leite Esteves is a key midfielder with 3 goals, 7 assists, and an average rating of 7.23. For AVS, Tomané stands out with 2 goals and 1 assist (average rating 6.87), Pedro Lima Barros with 1 goal and 2 assists (average rating 6.72), and Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola with 1 goal and 2 assists (average rating 6.56)

门将

Gil Vicente's goalkeeper is Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira. The team has recorded 10 clean sheets this season. For AVS, Adriel is in goal, and his team has kept 4 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos is known for high-scoring encounters, with an average of 3.6 goals per game, an 80% BTTS rate, and a 100% Over 2.5 rate in the last five matches. Gil Vicente scores an average of 1.47 goals at home and concedes only 0.8 goals, signaling a home advantage. AVS, on the other hand, shows weaknesses away from home, with an average of only 0.67 goals scored and 2.83 goals conceded

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