Liga Portugal
Estrela Amadora - Sporting CP
04/11/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.0
2.9
1.9
1:1
12%1:2
10%0:2
10%1:3
6%0:3
6%xG 分解
Estrela Amadora
Sporting CP
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
19%
平局
25%
客胜
56%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
双重机会
主胜或平局
44%
客胜或平局
81%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
55%
否
45%
关键因素
- Sporting CP is a clear favorite with a 56% win probability, while Estrela Amadora only has a 19% chance of winning
- Sporting CP shows a strong offense with an average of 7.6 shots on target per game, compared to Estrela Amadora's inconsistent form
- The historical record is clear: Sporting CP won all 5 direct duels with a goal difference of 17:4
风险因素
- Sporting CP has only 4 days of rest since the last match
- F. Ioannidis (Medial Collateral Ligament Injury) is missing for Sporting CP, who scored 3 goals
- Estrela Amadora scores only an average of 1.18 home goals per game
概述
Estrela Amadora (14th place, 28 points) hosts Sporting CP (2nd place, 68 points) at Estádio José Gomes. The Liga Portugal match is on April 11, 2026, 9:30 PM CEST. Sporting CP is battling for the top of the table, while Estrela Amadora is in the mid-table.
近期状态
Estrela Amadora's form is DDLWL, which translates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games. Their most recent result was a 0-2 away loss against Nacional. Before that, they secured a 4-0 home win against Casa Pia. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Sporting CP has a form of LWWWL, indicating 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five matches. They recently suffered a 0-1 home defeat against Arsenal, following a 4-2 home victory against Santa Clara.
统计数据
Estrela Amadora scores an average of 1.18 goals per game and concedes 1.68 goals per game. At home, they average 1.18 goals scored and 1.24 goals conceded. The team kept 7 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 15 matches.
Sporting CP is very strong offensively with an average of 2.67 goals per game and concedes only 0.63 goals per game. Away from home, they also average 2.67 goals scored and concede 0.92 goals. Sporting CP recorded 13 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 19 matches. At Estádio José Gomes, the last 5 matches averaged 3.2 goals per game, with over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of 5 matches.
历史交锋
In 5 direct encounters between the two teams, Estrela Amadora has not managed to secure a single victory, with Sporting CP winning all 5 matches. The goal difference of 4:17 clearly favors Sporting CP. The last meeting on November 30, 2025, ended in a 4-0 victory for Sporting CP.
关键球员
For Estrela Amadora, Abraham Marcus (5 goals, 5 assists, avg rating 7.09) and Rodrigo Pinho (4 goals, 1 assist, avg rating 6.81) are key players. Marcus showed rising form in the last 5 games with 2 goals and 2 assists, achieving a 7.35 rating. Pinho scored 3 goals in his last 5 games with a 7.37 rating. Bernardo Schappo (avg rating 6.8) also showed rising form recently with a 7.15 rating.
At Sporting CP, Luis Suárez (24 goals, 4 assists, avg rating 7.59), Pedro Gonçalves (13 goals, 6 assists, avg rating 7.65), and Francisco Trincão (6 goals, 10 assists, avg rating 7.37) are crucial. Suárez scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in his last 5 games. Gonçalves scored 3 goals in 3 games, and Trincão contributed 2 goals.
门将
Renan Ribeiro of Estrela Amadora played 28 games this season and kept 7 clean sheets. Rui Silva of Sporting CP featured in 25 games and recorded 13 clean sheets.
影响因素
Estrela Amadora scores an average of 1.18 goals at home and concedes 1.24 goals. Sporting CP, however, is strong offensively away from home with an average of 2.67 goals scored and 0.92 goals conceded. At Estádio José Gomes, the last 5 games averaged 3.2 goals per match, with over 2.5 goals occurring in 60% of the matches.