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Liga Portugal

Tondela - Gil Vicente

04/13/2026, 07:15 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Tondela
0.9
Total xG
2.6
Gil Vicente
1.7
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

0:2

11%

1:2

10%

0:3

6%

1:3

6%
xG 分解
TONGV

Tondela

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.7倍)
-0.77
排名劣势 (第17位 vs 第6位, 相差11位)
-0.11
状态上升 (1 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
+0.06
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
+0.00
主场表现强势 (场均1.2球 vs 总体0.8球)

Gil Vicente

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.32倍)
+0.67
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.13
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第17位, 相差11位)
+0.09
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.01
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

17%

平局

26%

客胜

57%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

43%

客胜或平局

83%

非平局

74%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Gil Vicente shows significantly stronger performance this season with an average of 1.50 goals scored and only 1.00 goal conceded compared to Tondela's 0.70 goals and 1.63 goals conceded
  • Gil Vicente averaged 4.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, while Tondela averaged 3.0 shots on target
  • The mathematical analysis shows a clear 57% probability for an away win for Gil Vicente
风险因素
  • Tondela scores only an average of 0.69 goals per home game
  • Tondela recorded an average of only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Tondela (17th place, 20 points) host Gil Vicente (6th place, 45 points) at Estádio João Cardoso

Liga Portugal match on April 13, 2026, 8:15 PM

The hosts are fighting against relegation, while Gil Vicente aims to defend its position in the upper half of the table

近期状态

Tondela's form across all competitions is WDLDL

This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Their last match was a 0-5 loss against Vitória Guimarães

Gil Vicente's form is LDDLW, which means 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

Gil Vicente won their last match 3-0 against AVS

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Tondela scores an average of 0.70 goals per game and concedes 1.63 goals per game

At home, these values are 0.69 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded

Tondela kept 5 clean sheets and saw both teams score in 9 matches

Gil Vicente scores an average of 1.50 goals and concedes 1.00 goal per game

Away from home, they score 1.55 goals and concede 1.45 goals

Gil Vicente kept 11 clean sheets and saw both teams score in 13 matches

The Estádio João Cardoso sees an average of 1.4 goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and 1 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams in Liga Portugal

The last encounter took place on November 29, 2025, where Gil Vicente lost 0-1 at home against Tondela

关键球员

For Tondela, Maranhão in attack is a key figure with 6 season goals and 1 assist, his average rating is 6.97

Defender Bebeto scored 2 season goals with a rating of 6.74 and shows rising form

In midfield, Joe Hodge contributed 1 assist with an average rating of 6.68

For Gil Vicente, Luís André Leite Esteves in midfield stands out with 3 goals and 8 assists and a rating of 7.23

Santiago García González, also in midfield, has 6 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 7.15

In attack, Murilo de Souza Costa is an important player with 8 goals and 4 assists and a rating of 6.97

门将

Bernardo is Tondela's goalkeeper and has 5 clean sheets this season

Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira is Gil Vicente's goalkeeper

Gil Vicente as a team has completed 11 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Tondela scores an average of 0.69 goals at home and concedes 1.31 goals, suggesting a defensive home strength

The Estádio João Cardoso sees an average of 1.4 goals per game

Statistics show both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and only 1 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

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