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Liga Portugal

Alverca - Casa Pia

04/12/2026, 02:30 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Alverca
1.5
Total xG
2.3
Casa Pia
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

13%

0:0

11%

2:0

11%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
ALVCP

Alverca

状态上升 (1.5 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.04
25%进球产出缺失 (仅87%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.4球 vs 总体1.1球)

Casa Pia

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.62倍)
-0.55
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.22
状态下滑 (0.5 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.19
Abdu Conté未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Korede Osundina未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.1球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

29%

客胜

19%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

81%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

71%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Alverca with 52%
  • Alverca's current form is positive, they are scoring more frequently (1.5) than their season average (1.1)
  • Casa Pia's goal production is struggling (0.5) and their away defense is vulnerable with 2.6 goals conceded per game
风险因素
  • Casa Pia concedes an average of 2.6 goals per away game
  • Casa Pia recorded an average of only 1.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Alverca (11th place, 32 points) host Casa Pia (16th place, 25 points) at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Liga Portugal match on April 12, 2026, 3:30 PM

Casa Pia is in a relegation battle and desperately needs points

近期状态

Alverca's recent form is W-D-D-D-L (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

The team achieved 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Alverca is currently unbeaten in 1 match (1 consecutive win)

Casa Pia's form in their last 5 games is D-L-D-D-L

They recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses

Casa Pia is currently unbeaten in 1 match (1 consecutive draw)

统计数据

Alverca scored an average of 1.04 goals per game this season and conceded 1.64 goals

At home, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 1.67 goals conceded

Casa Pia scored an average of 1.0 goals per game and conceded 1.81 goals

Away from home, Casa Pia conceded an average of 2.6 goals per match

Alverca is currently scoring more frequently (1.5) than their season average (1.1)

Casa Pia's goal production is struggling (0.5), with a season average of 1.1

An average of 2.4 goals per game were scored at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Both teams scored in 4 of 5 matches at this stadium, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 of 5 matches

历史交锋

In 1 previous head-to-head match, Alverca leads with 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses

The goal difference is 2:0 in favor of Alverca

Alverca won the last encounter on November 29, 2025, with a 2:0 score against Casa Pia

Historically, Alverca has been the dominant team in this fixture recently

关键球员

For Alverca, Figueiredo (4 goals, 2 assists seasonally, 2 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games, rising form), Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos (2 goals, 5 assists seasonally, 2 assists in last 5 games) and Kaiky Marques Naves (1 goal seasonally, 1 goal in last 5 games) are important players

For Casa Pia, Cassiano (5 goals seasonally, 3 goals in last 5 games, rising form) and Jérèmy Livolant (3 goals, 7 assists seasonally, declining form) showed good performances

Gaizka Larrazabal contributed 1 assist in the last 5 games

Not nominated for Casa Pia are Abdu Conté (0G/2A) and Korede Osundina (2G/0A)

门将

Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira for Alverca made 3 appearances this season

Alverca recorded a total of 6 clean sheets this season

Patrick Sequeira for Casa Pia started 22 season games and showed a declining form

Casa Pia kept a total of 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Alverca scored an average of 1.0 goals and conceded 1.67 goals at home

Casa Pia proved more vulnerable away, with an average of 1.0 goals scored and 2.6 goals conceded

At Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, both teams scored in 4 of 5 matches

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