Liga Portugal
Famalicão - Moreirense
04/10/2026, 07:45 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.2
0.6
1:0
16%2:0
14%0:0
13%1:1
13%2:1
9%xG 分解
Famalicão
Moreirense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
58%
平局
28%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
42%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
38%
否
62%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 58% probability and 1.54 expected home goals
- Famalicão's stable form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five games contrasts with Moreirense's negative run
- Famalicão averages 1.28 goals scored at home and concedes only 0.5 goals, while Moreirense concedes 1.5 goals away from home
风险因素
- Moreirense's offense is weak in the last five games with an average of 2.8 shots on target and only 0.4 goals per game
- Historically, 3 out of 5 direct encounters ended in a draw, which could indicate a tough match
概述
Famalicão (5th place, 46 points) host Moreirense (9th place, 35 points) at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
This Liga Portugal match takes place on April 10, 2026, 8:45 PM
Famalicão are aiming for European qualification spots, while Moreirense are in the middle of the table
近期状态
Home team Famalicão shows stable form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches (DWWWD)
Their last game ended in a draw
Moreirense, however, is in a poor phase with 2 draws and 3 losses (DDLLL)
They lost their last match and have suffered three consecutive losses
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Famalicão demonstrates defensive stability at home, conceding an average of 0.5 goals per game
Offensively, they score an average of 1.28 home goals
Moreirense concedes an average of 1.5 goals per away match
The team scores an average of 1.07 goals away from home
At Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, an average of 2.2 goals are scored per game
Both teams scored in 1 out of 5 matches, and 2 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there has been a balanced record
Famalicão won 1 game, Moreirense also won 1 game, and 3 matches ended in a draw
The goal difference is 4:3 in favor of Famalicão
The last encounter on November 29, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw
关键球员
Famalicão has several dangerous players
Sorriso scored 5 goals and 4 assists this season, with an average rating of 7.07
Gil Dias contributed 3 goals and 6 assists, with an average rating of 7.01
Gustavo Sá provided 4 goals and 2 assists, with an average rating of 7.00
For Moreirense, Alan de Souza Guimarães is an important player with 3 goals and 5 assists, average rating 7.01
Travassos recorded 4 goals and 3 assists, with a rating of 6.89
Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga has 3 seasonal goals
Not nominated: Luís Semedo (2 goals, 1 assist)
门将
Famalicão relies on Lazar Carević, who kept 14 clean sheets in 28 season appearances
André Ferreira is in goal for Moreirense, keeping 7 clean sheets in 19 matches
影响因素
Famalicão has a home advantage, scoring 1.28 goals and conceding 0.5 goals at their own stadium
The Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho sees an average of 2.2 goals per game
There were goals from both sides in only 1 out of 5 matches