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Bundesliga

Bayer 04 Leverkusen - FC Bayern München

03/14/2026, 02:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.4
Total xG
3.0
FC Bayern München
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

2:2

6%

0:2

6%
xG 分解
B0LFBM

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.42
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.19
Alejandro Grimaldo未进大名单 (6球, 5助攻)
Christian Kofane替补席 (5球, 3助攻)
Ibrahim Maza替补席 (2球, 3助攻)

FC Bayern München

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.4球)
-0.46
最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3.8球)
+0.08
进攻实力 (联赛平均的2.16倍)
-0.04
Harry Kane替补席 (30球, 5助攻)
Serge Gnabry替补席 (6球, 6助攻)
Leon Goretzka替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Min-jae Kim替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
21%进球产出缺失 (仅88%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均2.7球 vs 总体3.5球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.69
+0.69
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

33%

平局

27%

客胜

39%

进球数

Over 1.5

81%

Under 1.5

19%

Over 2.5

57%

Under 2.5

43%

Over 3.5

35%

Under 3.5

65%

双重机会

主胜或平局

61%

客胜或平局

67%

非平局

73%

双方进球

61%

39%

关键因素
  • Dominant form of FC Bayern München with 5 consecutive wins
  • Bayern's offensive power with an average of 3.68 goals per game
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 39%
风险因素
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen has only 3 days of rest since their last match
概述

Bayer 04 Leverkusen (6th place, 44 points) host FC Bayern München (1st place, 66 points) at the BayArena

Bundesliga match on March 14, 2026, 3:30 PM

The hosts aim to stay in contention for Champions League spots, while Bayern seeks to extend their league lead

近期状态

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) across all competitions is DDWDD

This includes 1 win and 4 draws

Their last match ended in a 1-1 draw against Arsenal

FC Bayern München shows an impeccable form of WWWWW

The visitors have achieved 5 wins and 0 draws in their last five matches

Their last game was a 6-1 win against Atalanta

Bayern is currently in a stable form with 5 consecutive wins

统计数据

Bayer 04 Leverkusen averages 1.92 goals scored per game and concedes 1.28 goals

At home, they average 1.92 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded

The team kept 7 clean sheets, 6 of which were at home

Both teams scored in 14 matches, and 14 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's goal production is currently stagnating at 1.5 goals compared to their season average of 1.8

FC Bayern München averages 3.68 goals scored per game and concedes 0.96 goals

Away from home, they average 3.64 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded

Bayern kept 9 clean sheets, 5 of which were away

Both teams scored in 16 matches, and all 25 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

FC Bayern München consistently scores around 3.7 goals per game

The BayArena has seen an average of 2.2 total goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and 2 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bayer 04 Leverkusen has 0 wins, FC Bayern München has 3 wins, and there have been 2 draws

Bayer 04 Leverkusen scored a total of 1 goal, while FC Bayern München scored 9 goals

The last encounter on November 01, 2025, ended in a 3-0 victory for FC Bayern München

FC Bayern München dominated recent encounters

关键球员

For Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Patrik Schick (Attacker) is a key player with 7 goals and 2 assists, averaging a rating of 6.94

Ernest Poku (Attacker) contributed 5 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 6.9

Aleix García (Midfielder) has scored 1 goal and provided 5 assists with an average rating of 7.36

For FC Bayern München, Michael Olise (Attacker) stands out with 10 goals and 16 assists and an average rating of 7.88, though his form is slightly declining

Luis Díaz (Attacker) has scored 14 goals and provided 11 assists with a rating of 7.64, also with declining form

Joshua Kimmich (Midfielder) is an important player with 2 goals and 6 assists and an average rating of 7.65, his form is also declining

门将

For Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Janis Blaswich is in goal, achieving an average rating of 7.09 in 9 season appearances

The team has recorded 7 clean sheets this season

For FC Bayern München, Sven Ulreich is expected to be the goalkeeper, with no appearances this season

The team has a total of 9 clean sheets this season

影响因素

At the BayArena, the average total goals per game is 2.2

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and 2 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals

Bayer 04 Leverkusen scores an average of 1.92 goals at home and concedes 0.85 goals

FC Bayern München scores 3.64 goals away and concedes 1.0 goal per game

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