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Liga Portugal

Benfica - Nacional

04/12/2026, 05:00 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Benfica
1.9
Total xG
2.7
Nacional
0.8
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
BENNAC

Benfica

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.65
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.31倍)
+0.41
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第15位, 相差12位)
+0.11
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.02
Tomás Araújo未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

Nacional

排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第3位, 相差12位)
-0.10
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.10
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.10
Paulinho Bóia未进大名单 (4球, 2助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

63%

平局

24%

客胜

13%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

87%

客胜或平局

37%

非平局

76%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Benfica has a home win probability of 63% and is predicted to score 1.91 goals
  • Benfica shows strong form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games, in contrast to Nacional's poor form with 3 losses
  • Benfica dominates head-to-head matches with 3 wins and a season goal record of 2.11:0.64 compared to Nacional's 1.11:1.39
概述

Benfica (3rd place, 66 points) host Nacional (15th place, 25 points) at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Liga Portugal match on April 12, 2026, 6:00 PM

Benfica is fighting for the top spots, while Nacional is in a relegation battle

近期状态

Benfica shows strong form in their last five matches with WDWWD

This corresponds to 3 wins, 2 draws, and no losses

Their last game was a 1-1 draw against Casa Pia

Nacional, on the other hand, shows poor form with LDLLW in their last five matches

This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

In their last match, Nacional secured a 2-0 win against Estrela Amadora

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Benfica scores an average of 2.11 goals per game this season and concedes 0.64 goals

Benfica also kept 13 clean sheets

At home, Benfica scores an average of 2.06 goals and concedes 0.62 goals per home game

Nacional scores an average of 1.11 goals and concedes 1.39 goals per match

Nacional kept 5 clean sheets

Away, Nacional scores an average of 1.09 goals and concedes 1.64 goals per away game

The Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica records an average of 2.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games here, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games

历史交锋

In the 3 direct encounters between Benfica and Nacional, Benfica has won all 3 matches

Nacional has not recorded any wins, and there have been no draws

Benfica scored a total of 7 goals, while Nacional conceded only 1 goal

The last meeting ended with a 2-1 away win for Benfica on November 29, 2025

关键球员

For Benfica, Vangelis Pavlidis is a key offensive player with 22 goals and 4 assists, and a season rating of 7.33

Richard Ríos showed 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games with a rating of 7.27

Gianluca Prestianni has scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.25, and his form is rising

For Nacional, Jesús Ramírez is the top scorer this season with 14 goals and 0 assists

José Gomes contributed 1 assist in his last 5 games and received a rating of 7.01, with his form rising

Léo Santos has recorded 1 assist in his last 5 games and a rating of 6.96, with his form being stable

门将

Benfica's goalkeeper, Anatoliy Trubin, kept 13 clean sheets this season

Kaique, Nacional's goalkeeper, managed to keep 5 clean sheets

影响因素

Benfica benefits from a strong home advantage, averaging 2.06 home goals scored and only 0.62 goals conceded per game

The Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica has a history of averaging 2.8 total goals per game

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of the last 5 games at the stadium

The pitch surface at the stadium is grass

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