🇵🇹

Liga Portugal

Santa Clara - Rio Ave

04/11/2026, 05:00 PM

0 : 2
预期进球
Santa Clara
0.9
Total xG
1.9
Rio Ave
1.0
最可能的比分

0:0

17%

1:1

15%

0:1

13%

1:0

12%

0:2

7%
xG 分解
SCRA

Santa Clara

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.53倍)
-0.81
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.15
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.15
全员可用

Rio Ave

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.67倍)
-0.35
状态上升 (1.5 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.02
Jalen Blesa替补席 (6球, 0助攻)
60%进球产出缺失 (仅71%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.1球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

32%

平局

35%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

58%

Under 1.5

42%

Over 2.5

30%

Under 2.5

70%

Over 3.5

13%

Under 3.5

87%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

68%

非平局

65%

双方进球

39%

61%

关键因素
  • Balanced Prediction: The mathematical model predicts a very close match, with similar win probabilities for both teams and a slightly higher chance of a draw (35%)
  • Tactical Offensive Advantage: Rio Ave averaged 5.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, showing a more potent attack compared to Santa Clara's average of 3.4 shots on target
  • Both Teams' Form Surge: Both teams show a positive form trend with increased goal production in recent matches compared to their season average
风险因素
  • Limited Scoring Opportunities: Santa Clara averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 matches
概述

Santa Clara (13th place, 28 points) host Rio Ave (12th place, 30 points) at Estádio de São Miguel. This Liga Portugal match takes place on April 11, 2026, 6:00 PM. Both teams are in the lower mid-table, with Rio Ave holding a two-point advantage. The objective is to further distance themselves from the relegation zone.

近期状态

Santa Clara's current form is DWWWL in their last five matches, which equates to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Rio Ave also has a form of DWWWL, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from their last five games. Santa Clara's last defeat was a 2-4 against Sporting CP, while Rio Ave recently lost 1-2 against Alverca. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.

统计数据

Santa Clara averages 0.93 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.25 goals. At home, they average 0.93 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per home game, with 6 clean sheets at home. Rio Ave averages 1.04 goals scored and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Away from home, Rio Ave scores 1.07 goals and concedes 1.79 goals, with 2 clean sheets on the road. At Estádio de São Miguel, an average of 2.6 goals are scored per game. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches.

历史交锋

In the three head-to-head encounters between the two teams, Santa Clara recorded one win, while there were two draws, and Rio Ave remained without a victory. Santa Clara scored a total of 3 goals, Rio Ave 2. The last meeting on November 30, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw. Santa Clara has been more dominant in recent direct comparisons.

关键球员

For Santa Clara, Serginho is key with 4 goals and 2 assists at an average rating of 6.96, Gabriel Silva with 4 goals at an average rating of 6.87, and Gustavo Klismahn with 1 goal and 1 assist at an average rating of 6.90. For Rio Ave, Dario Spikic stands out with 2 goals and 3 assists at an average rating of 6.71, Marios Vrousai with 1 goal and 1 assist at an average rating of 7.01, and Jakub Brabec with 1 goal at an average rating of 6.84. Jalen Blesa (6 goals/0 assists) is not listed in the squad.

门将

Santa Clara's goalkeeper is Gabriel Batista, who contributed to 8 clean sheets this season. For Rio Ave, Ennio Van Der Gouw is in goal. Rio Ave has recorded a total of 4 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

The home team Santa Clara averages 0.93 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per home game. The grass surface is not expected to have any specific impact. At Estádio de São Miguel, an average of 2.6 goals are scored per game. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches.

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。