Liga Portugal
Gil Vicente - Vitória Guimarães
04/18/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.1
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
14%1:0
13%0:1
9%2:0
9%xG 分解
Gil Vicente
Vitória Guimarães
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
33%
客胜
27%
进球数
Over 1.5
64%
Under 1.5
36%
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
Over 3.5
16%
Under 3.5
84%
双重机会
主胜或平局
73%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- Gil Vicente's Home Strength: The team demonstrates strong home performance with an average of 1.56 goals scored and only 0.75 goals conceded per home game
- Vitória Guimarães' Away Weakness: Vitória Guimarães conceded an average of 2.78 goals per away match
- Analysis Prediction: The mathematical analysis favors Gil Vicente with a 40% win probability
风险因素
- Gil Vicente's Draw Tendency: Gil Vicente has drawn 3 of their last 5 matches, which could indicate a propensity for shared points
- Conflicting Goal Expectation: Although Estádio Cidade de Barcelos averages 3.6 goals per game, the model's probability for over 2.5 goals is only 35%
概述
Gil Vicente (6th place, 46 points) host Vitória Guimarães (8th place, 36 points) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos in Liga Portugal. The match takes place on April 18, 2026, 8:30 PM. Gil Vicente is fighting for European qualification, while Vitória Guimarães seeks to catch up with the top spots.
近期状态
Gil Vicente's league form over the last five matches (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) is DDLWD
This equates to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
Vitória Guimarães has a form of LLLWD in their last five league games
This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Both teams drew their last match
统计数据
Gil Vicente averages 1.52 goals scored per game and concedes an average of 1.03 goals over the season
At home, these values improve to an average of 1.56 goals scored and 0.75 goals conceded
Gil Vicente kept 11 clean sheets, with 6 at home
Vitória Guimarães scores an average of 1.21 goals per game and concedes 1.48 goals
Away from home, their stats are 1.22 goals scored and 2.78 goals conceded per game
Vitória Guimarães achieved 8 clean sheets this season, 4 of them away
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos sees an average of 3.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and all 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente secured 1 win, Vitória Guimarães won 3 times, and there was 1 draw
The goal difference is 7:2 in favor of Vitória Guimarães
The last encounter on December 8, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
Historically, Vitória Guimarães shows a slight dominance in recent direct away duels
关键球员
For Gil Vicente, Murilo de Souza Costa (9 goals, 4 assists, Ø 6.99 rating) and Santiago García González (6 goals, 3 assists, Ø 7.15 rating) are key offensive players, with Murilo scoring 2 goals in the last 5 games
Luís André Leite Esteves contributed 3 goals and 8 assists with an Ø 7.23 rating this season, his form is declining
For Vitória Guimarães, Samu (6 goals, 3 assists, Ø 6.90 rating) stands out, delivering 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Gustavo Silva has contributed 4 goals and 1 assist this season, with 2 goals in the last 5 games
Noah Jose Saviolo recorded 2 goals and 4 assists this season
Not nominated for Vitória Guimarães are Oumar Camara (5G/2A) and Gonçalo Nogueira (0G/3A)
门将
Gil Vicente's goalkeeper, Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira, has an average rating of 6.94 in 5 season appearances
The team achieved 11 clean sheets this season
Vitória Guimarães' goalkeeper, Charles, has an average rating of 6.66 in 14 season appearances
Vitória Guimarães achieved 8 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente's home strength is evident with an average of 1.56 home goals scored and only 0.75 home goals conceded
The stadium averages 3.6 goals per game, and all of the last 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals