Liga Portugal
Moreirense - Estoril
04/20/2026, 07:15 PM
预期进球
0.9
2.3
1.4
1:1
14%0:1
13%0:0
12%0:2
10%1:2
9%xG 分解
Moreirense
Estoril
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
21%
平局
30%
客胜
49%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
51%
客胜或平局
79%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Mathematical Forecast: The analysis favors Estoril with a 49% win probability
- Form: Moreirense shows very weak form with 0 wins in their last 5 games
- Offensive Strength: Estoril is stronger offensively in Liga Portugal with an average of 1.76 goals per game
风险因素
- Limited Goal Threat for Estoril: Only 58% of the usual starting XI attacking strength is available, without João Carvalho (6G/12A), Jordan Holsgrove (1G/7A), Ricard Sánchez (2G/3A)
- Moreirense averaged only 1.8 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Estoril concedes an average of 2.15 goals per away game
概述
Moreirense (9th place, 36 points) host Estoril (8th place, 37 points) at the Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Liga Portugal match on April 20, 2026, 8:15 PM
The teams are close in the table and are fighting for a better mid-table position
近期状态
Moreirense's form in the last five games is DLLLD (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
The last match was a 1-1 away draw against Famalicão
Estoril's form in their last five matches is DWLLL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Their last match ended in a 1-3 loss against Porto
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Moreirense scored an average of 1.1 goals per game this season and conceded 1.41 goals
At home, they scored an average of 1.14 goals and conceded 1.36 goals
Estoril scored an average of 1.76 goals per game and conceded 1.72 goals
Away from home, Estoril scored an average of 1.77 goals and conceded 2.15 goals
At Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, an average of 2.0 goals were scored in the last 5 games
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 3 draws
Moreirense won 2 games and Estoril 0
The goal difference of 12:9 slightly favors Moreirense
The last encounter on December 7, 2025, ended in a 3-3 draw
关键球员
For Moreirense, important players include: Alan de Souza Guimarães (3 goals, 5 assists, Avg. 6.99 rating) who showed a slightly declining form
Travassos (4 goals, 3 assists, Avg. 6.87 rating) is also in a declining form trend
Rodrigo Alonso Martín (3 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 6.65 rating) is in stable form and scored 1 goal in the last 5 games
For Estoril, Yanis Begraoui (19 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 7.09 rating) is a key player with declining form
Ferro (2 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.81 rating) recently showed a rising form
Felix Bacher (2 goals, 0 assists, Avg. 6.78 rating) is in stable form
门将
Moreirense is expected to start with André Ferreira in goal, who has an average rating of 6.86 in 20 season appearances
His team recorded 7 clean sheets
For Estoril, Martin Turk is expected in goal, having made 0 season appearances so far
Estoril achieved 5 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Moreirense's home goals stand at an average of 1.14 per game, while conceding an average of 1.36 away goals
At Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, an average of 2.0 goals were scored in the last 5 games
In addition, both teams scored in 40% of the games and over 2.5 goals were scored in 40% of the games