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Liga Portugal

Casa Pia - Santa Clara

04/18/2026, 05:00 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Casa Pia
0.9
Total xG
2.3
Santa Clara
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

12%

0:0

11%

0:2

10%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
CPSC

Casa Pia

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.58倍)
-0.88
防守不足 (场均失2.1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.57
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.11
Abdu Conté未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

Santa Clara

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.79倍)
+0.38
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.11
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.04
Luis Fernando替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Welinton Torrão替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Gustavo Klismahn替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

22%

平局

30%

客胜

48%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

20%

Under 3.5

80%

双重机会

主胜或平局

52%

客胜或平局

78%

非平局

70%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a 48% win probability for Santa Clara, compared to 22% for Casa Pia
  • Santa Clara holds a dominant record in head-to-head encounters, with 3 wins and a 5-1 goal difference in 3 matches
  • Santa Clara has shown a more positive recent form trend and has a better defensive record (1.28 goals conceded on average) than Casa Pia (1.86 goals conceded on average)
风险因素
  • Casa Pia averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 matches, indicating offensive difficulties
  • Estádio Pina Manique is known for an average of 3.6 goals per game and a 100% 'Both teams scored' rate, which could lead to a high-scoring match
  • Santa Clara has suffered two consecutive away losses recently, which could impact their performance on the road
概述

Casa Pia (16th place, 25 points) host Santa Clara (13th place, 28 points) at Estádio Pina Manique

Liga Portugal match on April 18, 2026, 5:00 PM

A crucial encounter in the lower half of the table, with Santa Clara aiming to extend their lead over the relegation zone

近期状态

Casa Pia's form across all competitions is 'DDLDL' (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

The last result was a loss

Santa Clara's form is 'WWWLL'

With 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 games, their recent run ended with two consecutive losses

统计数据

Casa Pia averages 1.00 goals scored per game and concedes 1.86 goals per game

Santa Clara averages 0.90 goals scored per game and concedes 1.28 goals per game

Casa Pia kept 5 clean sheets, Santa Clara 8 clean sheets

At Estádio Pina Manique, an average of 3.6 goals per game were scored

Both teams scored in 5 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, Casa Pia has 0 wins, while Santa Clara has 3 wins

The goal difference is 1:5 in favor of Santa Clara

The last encounter on December 06, 2025, ended in a 1-0 victory for Santa Clara

Santa Clara has dominated recent matchups

关键球员

For Casa Pia, Jérémy Livolant is a key player with 3 goals and 8 assists in 28 appearances

Cassiano scored 5 goals in 27 games, with 1 goal in his last 5 matches

Gaizka Larrazabal contributed 3 goals and 4 assists in 27 matches

For Santa Clara, Vinícius Lopes stands out with 6 goals and 1 assist in 24 games, scoring 1 goal in his last 5 outings

Serginho contributed 4 goals and 2 assists in 28 appearances

Gabriel Silva scored 4 goals in 24 games and found the net once in his last 5 matches

门将

Casa Pia's goalkeeper Patrick Sequeira has recorded 5 clean sheets this season

Santa Clara's goalkeeper Gabriel Batista has 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Casa Pia scores an average of 1.00 goals at home and concedes 1.35 goals

Santa Clara scores an average of 0.87 goals away and concedes 1.40 goals

Estádio Pina Manique is known for an average of 3.6 goals per game, with 'Both teams scored' in 5 out of 5 games and 'Over 2.5 goals' in 3 out of 5 games

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