Liga Portugal
Porto - Tondela
04/19/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.3
0.5
1:0
16%2:0
15%0:0
11%1:1
11%3:0
9%xG 分解
Porto
Tondela
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
66%
平局
25%
客胜
10%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
90%
客胜或平局
34%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
36%
否
64%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Porto with a probability of 66%
- Porto is at the top of the league table with 76 points, while Tondela is in 17th place with 21 points and shows significantly weaker form (0 wins in 5 games)
- Porto's strong home offense averaging 2.07 goals per game faces Tondela's vulnerable away defense, which concedes an average of 2.08 goals
风险因素
- Porto had only 3 days since their last match, which could indicate fatigue
- Tondela's away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.08 goals per away game
- Tondela averaged 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述
Porto (1st place, 76 points) hosts Tondela (17th place, 21 points) at the Estádio Do Dragão. The Liga Portugal match takes place on April 19, 2026, 8:30 PM. Porto is fighting for the top of the table, while Tondela battles against relegation.
近期状态
Porto shows a form of WDDWL in the last five matches (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). The home team recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with the last game being a loss. Tondela displays a form of DLDLD in their last five games. The visitors registered 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with the last game ending in a draw.
统计数据
Porto scores an average of 2.03 goals per game and concedes 0.48 goals. At home, the average is 2.07 goals scored and 0.43 goals conceded. They kept 18 clean sheets. Tondela scores an average of 0.75 goals per game and concedes 1.64 goals. Away, their average is 0.77 goals scored and 2.08 goals conceded. Tondela managed only 5 clean sheets. At the Estádio Do Dragão, an average of 3.0 goals per game occurred in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 games (60%) and over 2.5 goals scored in 3 out of 5 games (60%).
历史交锋
In the only direct encounter between Porto and Tondela, Porto won away with a score of 2-0. The match took place on December 7, 2025.
关键球员
For Porto, Victor Froholdt (5 goals, 7 assists, Avg. 7.02) and Pepê (3 goals, 4 assists, Avg. 6.97) are crucial. Oskar Pietuszewski (3 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 6.95) showed good form in the last five games with 2 goals and 1 assist. For Tondela, Maranhão (6 goals, 1 assist, Avg. 6.96) stands out as the top scorer. Rony Lopes (2 goals, 2 assists, Avg. 6.91) and Joe Hodge (1 goal, 1 assist, Avg. 6.70) are other important players.
门将
Diogo Costa, Porto's goalkeeper, has kept 18 clean sheets this season. Bernardo for Tondela has achieved 5 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Porto holds a clear home advantage, with an average of 2.07 home goals and only 0.43 goals conceded. The Estádio Do Dragão sees an average of 3.0 goals per game. In 60% of the last 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%.