Bundesliga
Werder Bremen - FSV Mainz 05
03/15/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.6
2.6
0.9
1:1
13%2:0
10%2:1
10%1:2
6%3:0
5%xG 分解
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
52%
平局
28%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
48%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: A home win for Werder Bremen is calculated with 52% probability, with 1.62 predicted home goals
- Home Dominance in H2H: Werder Bremen won 4 out of 5 direct encounters against Mainz
- Form Trend: Werder Bremen's goal production is rising (1.4 recent), while Mainz's goal production is stagnant (1.0 recent)
风险因素
- FSV Mainz 05 with only 3 days since the last match
- N. Amiri (10 goals, 2 assists) is missing for Mainz, only 79% of goal threat is available
- FSV Mainz 05 concedes an average of 2.08 goals per away game
概述
Werder Bremen (14th place, 25 points) host FSV Mainz 05 (15th place, 24 points) at the Wohninvest Weserstadion. The Bundesliga match takes place on March 15, 2026, at 3:30 PM. Both teams are involved in the relegation battle and are separated by just one point.
近期状态
Werder Bremen shows a mixed form across all competitions with 'LLLWW'. This accounts for 2 wins and 3 losses, with the last two matches won. FSV Mainz 05 has a form of 'LDDDD', with 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss. Their last four games ended in a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
Werder Bremen scores an average of 1.16 goals per game and concedes 1.80 goals. At home, they score 1.17 goals and concede 1.75 goals. FSV Mainz 05 also scores 1.16 goals per game but concedes only 1.64 goals. Away from home, they concede an average of 2.08 goals per match. In the last 5 games at the Wohninvest Weserstadion, an average of 3.0 goals per game were scored. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games.
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Werder Bremen dominated with 4 wins and 1 draw. The goal difference is 9:2 in favor of Werder Bremen. The last encounter on November 1, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw. Werder Bremen has been the dominant team in recent meetings.
关键球员
For Werder Bremen, Jens Stage (7 goals, 2 assists), Romano Schmid (2 goals, 7 assists), and Marco Grüll (3 goals, 1 assist) are important players. Romano Schmid's form trend is rising. For FSV Mainz 05, Jae-sung Lee (3 goals, 2 assists), Danny da Costa (2 goals, 3 assists), and Phillip Tietz (1 goal, 2 assists) are among the players with the most scorer points. Most of the mentioned Mainz players show a declining form.
门将
Werder Bremen's goalkeeper is Mio Backhaus, who has recorded 5 clean sheets so far. For FSV Mainz 05, Daniel Batz is in goal, achieving 2 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
The home team Werder Bremen scores an average of 1.17 goals at home and concedes 1.75 goals. The grass surface is used. At the Wohninvest Weserstadion, an average of 3.0 goals are scored per game, and both teams score in 40% of the matches.