Liga Portugal
Sporting Braga - Famalicão
04/19/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.1
0.8
1:0
15%1:1
14%0:0
13%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Sporting Braga
Famalicão
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
50%
平局
31%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
50%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
42%
否
58%
关键因素
- Sporting Braga is favored with a 50% home win probability according to the mathematical analysis
- Famalicão is unbeaten in their last five games (3 wins, 2 draws) and recently averaged 5.2 shots on target
- Sporting Braga's home offense is strong, averaging 1.93 goals per game, but faces Famalicão's solid defense that concedes an average of 1.5 goals away
风险因素
- Sporting Braga had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Sporting Braga's goal production is declining (averaging 1.6 goals recently versus a season average of 2.1)
- Famalicão will be without Gustavo Sá (4 goals, 2 assists)
概述
Sporting Braga (4th place, 52 points) host Famalicão (5th place, 47 points) at Estádio Municipal de Braga. Liga Portugal match on April 19, 2026, 9:30 PM. Both teams are competing for European qualification spots.
近期状态
Sporting Braga's form across all competitions is LWDWW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). They have secured two consecutive wins recently. Famalicão's form is WWWDD (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) and they are unbeaten in their last two matches with draws. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
Sporting Braga averages 1.96 goals scored and 0.96 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they average 1.93 goals scored and 0.87 goals conceded per game. Famalicão averages 1.2 away goals scored and 1.5 away goals conceded per game. Overall, Famalicão has achieved 14 clean sheets, while Sporting Braga has 11. At Estádio Municipal de Braga, the last 5 games averaged 2.8 total goals, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 3 out of 5 matches.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Braga recorded 2 wins, Famalicão 1 win, and there were 2 draws. Sporting Braga scored 9 goals and Famalicão scored 8 goals during these encounters. The last match on December 06, 2025, saw Sporting Braga win away with a 2-1 score. Sporting Braga has been the more dominant team in recent direct duels.
关键球员
For Sporting Braga, Ricardo Horta is a crucial attacker with 13 goals and 4 assists in 25 season appearances, despite a slight decline in form over the last five games. Pau Víctor scored 7 goals and 4 assists in 27 appearances, with 2 goals in his last 5 games. Fran Navarro contributed 5 goals and 1 assist in 23 appearances, with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 matches. Not nominated: Gabri Martínez (0G/3A). For Famalicão, Sorriso is a key player with 5 goals and 4 assists in 28 season appearances. Gil Dias recorded 3 goals and 6 assists in 28 appearances. Defender Rodrigo Pinheiro contributed 3 goals and 2 assists in 25 games, including 1 goal in his last 5 matches. Not nominated: Gustavo Sá (4G/2A).
门将
Lukas Hornicek is in goal for Sporting Braga, having featured in 28 season appearances. Lazar Carević is the goalkeeper for Famalicão, with 29 appearances. Sporting Braga registered 11 clean sheets, while Famalicão achieved 14 clean sheets.
影响因素
Sporting Braga holds a significant home advantage, averaging 1.93 goals scored and only 0.87 goals conceded per home game. The Estádio Municipal de Braga has seen an average of 2.8 total goals in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 60% of these games, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 60% of them.