Liga Portugal
Sporting CP - Benfica
04/19/2026, 05:15 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
Sporting CP
Benfica
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
29%
客胜
23%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
77%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 48% probability and 1.53 expected home goals
- Sporting CP demonstrates strong home performance with an average of 2.67 goals scored and only 0.4 goals conceded per home game
- Benfica's solid defense (0.62 goals conceded per game overall, 0.67 away) could challenge Sporting CP's offense
风险因素
- Sporting CP has a shorter recovery period with only 4 days since their last match
- The pipeline analysis forecasts a 29% probability for a draw, and the last head-to-head match ended 1-1
- Benfica displays stable form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches
概述
Sporting CP (2nd place, 71 points) host Benfica (3rd place, 69 points) at Estádio José Alvalade. It's a crucial Liga Portugal match on April 19, 2026, 6:00 PM. Sporting CP has played one game less than Benfica and is only 5 points behind league leaders Porto.
近期状态
Sporting CP's current form (WWLWD) shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from their last 5 matches across all competitions. Their last result was a draw. Benfica's form is DWWDW, which translates to 3 wins and 2 draws, making them unbeaten in their last 5 games. Their last result was a win. (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Sporting CP has scored an average of 2.61 goals per game and conceded 0.61 goals per game this season. At home, they score even more with 2.67 goals and concede only 0.4 goals per home game. Benfica has scored an average of 2.1 goals and conceded 0.62 goals. Away from home, they have scored 2.17 goals and conceded 0.67 goals. The Estádio José Alvalade has seen an average of 3.2 total goals in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 20% of these games, and 60% had over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches between Sporting CP and Benfica, Sporting CP secured 2 wins, Benfica 1 win, and there were 2 draws. Sporting CP has recently dominated at home in these encounters. The last match, on December 5, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw.
关键球员
Key players for Sporting CP include Luis Suárez (24 goals, 4 assists, season average rating 7.55), Pedro Gonçalves (13 goals, 6 assists, season average rating 7.61), and Francisco Trincão (6 goals, 11 assists, season average rating 7.36). Benfica relies on Fredrik Aursnes (3 goals, 4 assists, season average rating 7.27), Richard Ríos (2 goals, 3 assists, season average rating 7.08), and Andreas Schjelderup (5 goals, 4 assists, season average rating 7.0). Vangelis Pavlidis (22 goals, 4 assists) and Rafa Silva (2 goals, 0 assists) are not in the lineup, impacting 81% of the usual starting eleven's goal production.
门将
Sporting CP's goalkeeper, Rui Silva, recorded 14 clean sheets this season. On the opposing side, Benfica's Anatoliy Trubin also kept 14 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Sporting CP benefits from a strong home advantage, averaging 2.67 home goals scored and only 0.4 goals conceded per game. The Estádio José Alvalade has seen an average of 3.2 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 20% of games and 60% featuring over 2.5 goals.