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Liga Portugal

Benfica - Moreirense

04/25/2026, 05:00 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
Benfica
1.8
Total xG
2.4
Moreirense
0.6
最可能的比分

1:0

15%

2:0

15%

1:1

11%

0:0

10%

3:0

9%
xG 分解
BENMOR

Benfica

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.66
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.39倍)
+0.37
排名优势 (第2位 vs 第8位, 相差6位)
+0.05
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.02
Andreas Schjelderup替补席 (6球, 4助攻)
Gianluca Prestianni替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Tomás Araújo未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

Moreirense

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.53倍)
-0.83
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.22
状态下滑 (0.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.22
排名劣势 (第8位 vs 第2位, 相差6位)
-0.04
Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.1球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

66%

平局

24%

客胜

10%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

90%

客胜或平局

34%

非平局

76%

双方进球

38%

62%

关键因素
  • Benfica's strong home record with an average of 2.06 home goals and only 0.59 goals conceded
  • Benfica's current form with 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches
  • Benfica's historical dominance in head-to-head matches against Moreirense (3 wins, 2 draws)
风险因素
  • Moreirense averaged only 2.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Several key Moreirense players show a declining form trend in their last 5 matches
概述

Benfica (2nd place, 72 points) host Moreirense (8th place, 39 points) at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica. Liga Portugal match on April 25, 2026, 6:00 PM. Benfica are fighting for the top spot in Liga Portugal.

近期状态

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Benfica shows strong form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches (WWDWW)

Benfica recently won 2-1 away against Sporting CP

Moreirense has a weaker record with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 games (LLLDW)

Moreirense's last victory was a 1-0 home win against Estoril

统计数据

Benfica averages 2.1 goals scored per game and concedes 0.63 goals per game

At home, they average 2.06 goals scored and 0.59 goals conceded

Moreirense averages 1.1 goals scored per game and concedes 1.37 goals per game

Away from home, they average 1.07 goals scored and 1.47 goals conceded

The Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica has seen an average of 2.6 goals in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 1 out of 5 games, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica dominated with 3 wins and 2 draws, with a goal difference of 11:3

Moreirense failed to win any of these direct encounters

The last meeting ended in a 4-0 away victory for Benfica on December 14, 2025

关键球员

For Benfica, Vangelis Pavlidis is crucial with 22 goals and 4 assists, and a season average rating of 7.26

Fredrik Aursnes contributed 3 goals and 4 assists, with a season average rating of 7.25

Dodi Lukébakio showed good form in the last 5 games with 2 goals

For Moreirense, Alan de Souza Guimarães is a key player with 4 goals and 5 assists and a season average rating of 7.01

Travassos scored 4 goals and 3 assists this season

Rodrigo Alonso Martín has 3 goals and 2 assists in the current season

门将

Benfica's goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin has achieved 14 clean sheets this season

Moreirense's goalkeeper André Ferreira has 8 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Benfica benefits from home advantage at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica with an average of 2.06 home goals scored and only 0.59 goals conceded

The stadium saw an average of 2.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches

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