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Liga Portugal

AVS - Sporting CP

04/26/2026, 07:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
AVS
0.7
Total xG
2.4
Sporting CP
1.7
最可能的比分

0:1

14%

0:2

13%

1:1

12%

0:0

11%

1:2

9%
xG 分解
AVSSC

AVS

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.89
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第3位, 相差15位)
-0.13
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.05
Tomané未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
10%进球产出缺失 (仅100%可用)

Sporting CP

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.36
防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.34
状态下滑 (1.5 vs 2.4 赛季平均)
-0.27
排名优势 (第3位 vs 第18位, 相差15位)
+0.12
Luis Suárez替补席 (24球, 4助攻)
Geny Catamo替补席 (6球, 3助攻)
Maxi Araújo替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
Morten Hjulmand未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)
Gonçalo Inácio未进大名单 (1球, 3助攻)
Eduardo Quaresma替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
55%进球产出缺失 (仅61%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.4球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

14%

平局

27%

客胜

59%

进球数

Over 1.5

70%

Under 1.5

30%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

41%

客胜或平局

86%

非平局

73%

双方进球

43%

57%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 59% probability and 1.66 expected goals for Sporting CP
  • Sporting CP shows strong offensive power with an average of 2.55 goals per game, while AVS only scores 0.70 goals on average
  • The historical record clearly favors Sporting CP, who are unbeaten in 3 head-to-head matches with a goal difference of 11:2
风险因素
  • Only 62% of Sporting CP's usual starting XI goal threat is available, with Luis Suárez (24G/4A), Geny Catamo (6G/3A), Maxi Araujo (4G/3A), Morten Hjulmand (2G/4A), Gonçalo Inácio (1G/3A), and Eduardo Quaresma (1G/2A) not in the lineup
  • AVS scores only an average of 0.69 goals per home game
概述

AVS (18th place, 13 points) host Sporting CP (3rd place, 71 points) at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

The Liga Portugal match is on April 26, 2026, 8:30 PM

Sporting CP are fighting for the top spots, while AVS are battling against relegation

近期状态

AVS' current form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) is LDLDD

The home team recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches

Two consecutive games recently ended in a draw

Sporting CP's form is WLWDL

The away team achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 games

The last match ended in a loss

AVS recently achieved two consecutive draws

Sporting CP won 2 of their last 5 games

统计数据

AVS scored an average of 0.70 goals per game this season and conceded 2.13 goals per match

AVS failed to score in 17 games

At home, AVS scores an average of 0.69 goals and concedes 1.56 goals per home game

Sporting CP impresses with an average of 2.55 goals per game and concedes only 0.66 goals on average

The away team scored in every game this season

Away from home, Sporting CP scores an average of 2.54 goals and concedes only 0.85 goals

At Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, an average of 2.0 goals were scored per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 1 of 5 matches

More than 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches so far, AVS has not yet recorded a win against Sporting CP

Sporting CP won 2 matches, 1 game ended in a draw

The goal difference of 11:2 clearly favors Sporting CP

The last encounter was won by Sporting CP away with 6:0 on December 13, 2026

Sporting CP has been dominant in recent encounters

关键球员

For AVS, Pedro Lima Barros (Midfielder) stands out with 2 goals and 2 assists, his form trend is rising

Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola (Attacker) contributed 1 goal and 2 assists, his form is stable

Diego Ariel Duarte Gárce (Attacker) scored 3 goals and shows stable form

For Sporting CP, Pedro Gonçalves (Attacker) is the top player with 13 goals and 6 assists, his recent form is declining

Francisco Trincão (Midfielder) provided 6 goals and 11 assists, his form is stable

Geovany Quenda (Attacker) contributed 1 goal and 4 assists, his form trend is recently falling

门将

Goalkeeper Adriel (AVS) kept 4 clean sheets this season

Goalkeeper Rui Silva (Sporting CP) kept a clean sheet in 14 matches

Sporting CP has a significantly better clean sheet record than AVS

影响因素

At Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, an average of 2.0 goals were scored per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 1 of 5 matches, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches

AVS scores an average of 0.69 goals and concedes 1.56 goals per home game

Sporting CP scores an average of 2.54 goals and concedes only 0.85 goals away from home

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