🇵🇹

Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora - Porto

04/26/2026, 05:00 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Estrela Amadora
0.9
Total xG
2.7
Porto
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

0:2

11%

1:2

10%

0:3

7%

1:3

6%
xG 分解
EAPOR

Estrela Amadora

排名劣势 (第15位 vs 第1位, 相差14位)
-0.14
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.08
全员可用

Porto

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.38倍)
+0.67
防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.60
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第15位, 相差14位)
+0.12
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.10
Zaidu Sanusi替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Alan Varela未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
Terem Moffi替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

17%

平局

26%

客胜

57%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

43%

客胜或平局

83%

非平局

74%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The analysis indicates Porto as the winner with a 57% probability.
  • League Standings: Porto is top of the league, while Estrela Amadora is battling relegation.
  • Goalkeeper Performance: Porto's goalkeeper Diogo Costa has 19 clean sheets, Estrela's Renan Ribeiro only 7.
风险因素
  • Estrela Amadora's goal production is stagnant at 1.0 compared to the season average of 1.3.
  • Porto's goal production is stagnant at 1.6 compared to the season average of 1.9.
  • Estrela Amadora averaged 3.8 shots on target in the last 5 games (average).
概述

Estrela Amadora (15th place, 28 points) host Porto (1st place, 79 points) at Estádio José Gomes. The Liga Portugal match is scheduled for April 26, 2026, 7:00 PM. League leaders Porto are fighting for the championship against Estrela Amadora, who are battling against relegation.

近期状态

Estrela Amadora shows poor form with W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss: LWLLL. They recorded 1 win and 4 losses in their last five matches. Their last appearance resulted in a 0-1 away defeat against Arouca. Porto, on the other hand, has a form of DDWLW, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games. They recently beat Tondela 2-0 at home.

统计数据

Estrela Amadora has scored an average of 1.1 goals per home game this season and conceded 1.22 goals. Porto is strong away, averaging 2.0 goals scored and only 0.53 goals conceded per away match. Overall, Estrela Amadora has 7 clean sheets, while Porto has an impressive 19. At Estádio José Gomes, an average of 2.4 goals were scored in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 1 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 games.

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto dominated with 4 wins, while Estrela Amadora secured 1 win. The goal difference stands at 8:3 in favor of Porto. The last encounter on December 15, 2025, ended with a 3-1 away win for Porto.

关键球员

For Estrela Amadora, Abraham Marcus (5 goals, 5 assists), Rodrigo Pinho (4 goals, 1 assist) and Ianis Stoica (2 goals, 2 assists) are the key players. Abraham Marcus is in good form with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games. For Porto, Victor Froholdt (6 goals, 7 assists), Gabri Veiga (3 goals, 7 assists) and Pepê (3 goals, 4 assists) stand out. Victor Froholdt scored 2 goals in the last 5 games. Not nominated for the starting lineup for Porto are Zaidu Sanusi (1 goal, 1 assist), Alan Varela (2 goals, 0 assists) and Terem Moffi (1 goal, 1 assist).

门将

Estrela Amadora's goalkeeper, Renan Ribeiro, managed 7 clean sheets this season. Porto's goalkeeper, Diogo Costa, recorded an impressive 19 clean sheets.

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。