Liga Portugal
Santa Clara - Sporting Braga
04/26/2026, 05:00 PM
预期进球
0.7
2.2
1.5
0:1
15%1:1
13%0:0
13%0:2
12%1:2
9%xG 分解
Santa Clara
Sporting Braga
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
16%
平局
30%
客胜
54%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
46%
客胜或平局
84%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
40%
否
60%
关键因素
- Sporting Braga's role as favorites is supported by a 54% win probability
- Braga's strong offense averages 1.93 goals away from home, while Santa Clara scores only 0.87 goals per home game
- Sporting Braga is unbeaten in five matches (3 wins, 2 draws), whereas Santa Clara shows inconsistent form (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
风险因素
- Sporting Braga has a short rest period with only 3 days since their last match
- Santa Clara averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- Sporting Braga averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches
概述
Santa Clara (14th place, 29 points) host Sporting Braga (4th place, 56 points) at Estádio de São Miguel
Liga Portugal match on April 26, 2026, 6:00 PM
Sporting Braga is fighting for a European spot, while Santa Clara is battling to stay in the league
The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 54% probability
近期状态
Santa Clara's recent form is WWLLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They have achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches
The last game ended in a draw
Sporting Braga's form is DWWDW
This corresponds to 3 wins and 2 draws from their last five matches, with no losses
Their last result was a win
统计数据
Santa Clara averages 0.87 goals scored per game and concedes 1.23 goals per game this season
At home, they average 0.87 goals scored and 1.07 goals conceded per home game
They kept 9 clean sheets in 30 season matches
Sporting Braga averages 1.93 goals scored per game and concedes 0.97 goals per game
Away from home, the team scores 1.93 goals and concedes 1 goal per away game
Sporting Braga has kept 12 clean sheets in 30 season matches
At Estádio de São Miguel, an average of 2.8 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games
The pipeline prediction expects 0.70 goals for Santa Clara and 1.46 goals for Sporting Braga
历史交锋
In 3 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara has not secured any wins
Sporting Braga has won 2 games, with 1 match ending in a draw
The goal difference of 4:1 clearly favors Sporting Braga
The last encounter on December 15, 2025, ended in a 0:1 away win for Sporting Braga
The recent record shows dominance by Sporting Braga
关键球员
For Santa Clara, Serginho (4 goals, 2 assists, AvgRating 6.96) and Gabriel Silva (4 goals, AvgRating 6.83) are key players
Gonçalo Paciência contributed 2 goals with an AvgRating of 6.64
For Sporting Braga, Rodrigo Zalazar stands out with 15 goals and 4 assists (AvgRating 7.45)
Fran Navarro scored 6 goals and 1 assist (AvgRating 6.6)
Vítor Carvalho contributed 2 goals and 1 assist (AvgRating 7.02)
门将
For Santa Clara, Gabriel Batista will guard the goal, having kept 9 clean sheets this season
Sporting Braga starts Tiago Sá, who has not made any appearances this season
Sporting Braga has recorded a total of 12 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Sporting Braga shows significant away strength with an average of 1.93 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per away game
Santa Clara scores an average of 0.87 goals and concedes 1.07 goals at home
The grass pitch at Estádio de São Miguel is the usual surface for both teams
The pipeline analysis expects over 1.5 goals to be scored with 65% probability