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Liga Portugal

Vitória Guimarães - Rio Ave

04/25/2026, 07:30 PM

2 : 0
预期进球
Vitória Guimarães
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Rio Ave
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

15%

1:0

15%

1:1

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
VGRA

Vitória Guimarães

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
+0.09
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.09
防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.05
Gonçalo Nogueira替补席 (0球, 4助攻)

Rio Ave

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.6倍)
-0.64
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.59
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.19
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.19
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.2球)
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

33%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

32%

Under 2.5

68%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

67%

双方进球

39%

61%

关键因素
  • Home Strength: Vitória Guimarães is defensively stable at home, conceding an average of 0.9 goals per game
  • Offensive Form: According to Advanced Stats, both teams show a positive offensive trend, with higher current goal rates than their season average
  • Head-to-Head: Vitória Guimarães dominated the last 5 encounters with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Rio Ave
风险因素
  • Draw Probability: The mathematical analysis indicates a draw with a 33% probability
  • Away Form: Rio Ave shows positive form in their last five matches with 3 wins and 1 draw
概述

Vitória Guimarães (7th place, 39 points) host Rio Ave (12th place, 34 points) at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Liga Portugal match on April 25, 2026, 8:30 PM

The mathematical analysis indicates a home win with 46% probability

近期状态

Vitória Guimarães' form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in the last five matches is LLWDW

The team recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses during this period

The last result was a 1-0 away win against Gil Vicente

Rio Ave's form in the last five matches is WWLWD

This means 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss

Most recently, Rio Ave drew 2-2 at home against AVS

统计数据

Vitória Guimarães scores an average of 1.20 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.43 goals per game this season

At home, the team scores an average of 1.2 goals and concedes 0.9 goals per match

Rio Ave scores an average of 1.10 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.67 goals per game this season

Away from home, the team scores 1.13 goals and concedes 1.67 goals per match

The Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques has seen an average of 2.8 total goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 60% of matches at the stadium, and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória Guimarães dominated with 3 wins compared to 1 win for Rio Ave and 1 draw

Vitória Guimarães scored 8 goals in these matches, Rio Ave scored 4 goals

The last encounter was won by Vitória Guimarães at home with a 1-0 score on December 13, 2025

关键球员

For Vitória Guimarães, Samu (6 goals, 3 assists, average rating 6.91) and Gustavo Silva (5 goals, 1 assist, average rating 6.88) are key offensive players with rising form

Oumar Camara has 5 goals and 2 assists with an average rating of 6.73

For Rio Ave, Jalen Blesa (6 goals, 0 assists, average rating 7.13) is an in-form attacker

Dario Spikic contributed 2 goals and 3 assists, with an average rating of 6.69

Marios Vrousai (1 goal, 2 assists, average rating 7.07) also shows rising form

门将

Vitória Guimarães' goalkeeper, Charles, made 15 appearances this season

Vitória Guimarães' team recorded 9 clean sheets this season

For Rio Ave, Cezary Miszta was in goal for 18 season games

Rio Ave kept 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Vitória Guimarães shows defensive stability at home, conceding an average of 0.9 goals per game

The Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques has averaged 2.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches

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