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Liga Portugal

Estoril - Famalicão

04/26/2026, 02:30 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Estoril
1.1
Total xG
2.1
Famalicão
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

14%

1:0

11%

0:1

11%

2:1

7%
xG 分解
ESTFAM

Estoril

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.60
防守不足 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.26
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.8 赛季平均)
-0.23
Pedro Carvalho替补席 (0球, 2助攻)

Famalicão

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.59倍)
-0.23
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.19
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.06
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.4球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

33%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

35%

Under 2.5

65%

Over 3.5

16%

Under 3.5

84%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

67%

双方进球

44%

56%

关键因素
  • Famalicão's strong recent form (2 wins, 3 draws) and positive trend
  • Estoril's ongoing negative run with 4 consecutive losses and negative form trend
  • Famalicão's defensive stability with 0.9 goals conceded per game and 14 clean sheets
风险因素
  • Estoril's goal production is currently stagnant (1.0) compared to their season average (1.8)
  • Famalicão's recent expected goals (xG) were 0.79, significantly below their season average of 1.26
  • Estoril is without K. Boma (Muscle Injury)
概述

Estoril (10th place, 37 points) host Famalicão (5th place, 48 points) at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. The Liga Portugal match takes place on April 26, 2026, 3:30 PM. Famalicão aims to consolidate its higher league position, while Estoril tries to close the gap

近期状态

Estoril shows a form of WLLLL across all competitions, with 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses. The team recently recorded 4 consecutive losses. In their last game, Estoril lost 0-1 to Moreirense. Famalicão, on the other hand, presents a form of WWDDD, with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses. The team has drawn their last 3 matches. In their last game, Famalicão drew 2-2 with Sporting Braga

统计数据

Estoril scored an average of 1.7 goals per game this season and conceded 1.7 goals. Famalicão scored an average of 1.27 goals and conceded 0.9 goals per game. Estoril had both teams score in 17 matches, while Famalicão had it in 11 matches. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 20 Estoril matches and 12 Famalicão matches. At the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, the last 5 games averaged 3.0 total goals, with 80% BTTS matches and 80% Over 2.5 matches

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 2 wins for Estoril, 2 for Famalicão, and 1 draw. The goal difference is 4:9 in favor of Famalicão. The last encounter on December 14, 2025, ended in a 4-0 victory for Famalicão. The historical balance is generally even, with Famalicão clearly winning the last encounter

关键球员

Estoril's offense is led by Yanis Begraoui, who contributed 19 goals and 1 assist this season and shows a slightly declining form. João Carvalho is an important midfielder with 6 goals and 12 assists, also with declining form. Jordan Holsgrove contributes with 1 goal and 7 assists and also shows a declining form trend. For Famalicão, Gil Dias is a key attacking player with 4 goals and 7 assists, whose form is stable. Sorriso scored 5 goals and 4 assists and shows stable form. Justin de Haas is an important defender with 4 goals, but his form is slightly declining

门将

Estoril's goalkeeper is Martin Turk, who has made one appearance this season. The Estoril team recorded a total of 5 clean sheets. For Famalicão, Lazar Carević is in goal, having played 30 games this season. The Famalicão team managed to keep 14 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Estoril scores an average of 1.75 goals at home and concedes 1.38 goals. Famalicão scores an average of 1.27 goals away and concedes 1.55 goals. The playing surface at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota is grass. The last 5 games at this stadium showed high goal involvement with an average of 3.0 goals per game, 80% BTTS, and 80% Over 2.5

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