Liga Portugal
Porto - Alverca
05/02/2026, 07:30 PM
预期进球
1.8
2.5
0.7
1:0
14%2:0
14%1:1
11%0:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
Porto
Alverca
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
64%
平局
25%
客胜
11%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
89%
客胜或平局
36%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
41%
否
59%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis predicts a high probability of 64% for a Porto home win
- Table Position and Home Strength: Porto is the league leader and boasts an impressive home offense averaging 2.07 goals per game
- Offensive-Defensive Matchup: Porto's strong home offense faces Alverca's vulnerable away defense, which concedes an average of 1.8 goals per away game
概述
Porto (1st place, 82 points) host Alverca (9th place, 38 points) at the Estádio Do Dragão. The Liga Portugal match takes place on May 2, 2026, at 8:30 PM. League leaders Porto aim to consolidate their top position, while Alverca seeks to establish itself in the upper half of the table.
近期状态
Porto shows good form with a record of DWLWW in their last five matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their last two league results were victories. Alverca, on the other hand, has a LWWLW form (3 wins, 2 losses) in their last five games. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
Porto averages 2.03 goals scored per game and concedes only 0.48 goals per game this season. At home, the offense improves to 2.07 goals scored per home game, while the defense allows only 0.4 goals. Alverca averages 1.1 goals scored and concedes 1.58 goals. Away, Alverca averages 1.13 goals scored and concedes 1.8 goals per away game. At the Estádio Do Dragão, an average of 2.6 goals were scored in the last five matches. Both teams scored in 40% of the games, and 40% ended with over 2.5 goals.
历史交锋
There has only been one head-to-head match between Porto and Alverca. Porto won the last encounter on December 22, 2025, away with a 3:0 score against Alverca. Overall, Porto has 1 win and 0 losses against Alverca.
关键球员
For Porto, Victor Froholdt (6 goals, 7 assists, AvgR 7.02), Gabri Veiga (3 goals, 7 assists, AvgR 7.02), and Deniz Gül (4 goals, 1 assist, AvgR 6.66) are key players. Gabri Veiga shows a rising form trend with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games. Deniz Gül also has a rising trend with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games. For Alverca, Figueiredo (5 goals, 2 assists, AvgR 6.98), Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira (2 goals, 4 assists, AvgR 6.99), and Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos (2 goals, 5 assists, AvgR 7.05) stand out. Figueiredo is in rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games.
门将
In goal for Porto is Diogo Costa, who kept 19 clean sheets this season. For Alverca, Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira is in goal. The team managed 6 clean sheets this season, one of which was away.
影响因素
Porto has a significant home advantage at the Estádio Do Dragão, as shown by 2.07 home goals scored and only 0.4 home goals conceded per game. The grass pitch at Estádio Do Dragão influences the game. Venue statistics show an average of 2.6 goals per game, and both teams scored in 40% of the matches.