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Liga Portugal

Rio Ave - Gil Vicente

05/03/2026, 07:30 PM

0 : 0
预期进球
Rio Ave
1.1
Total xG
2.9
Gil Vicente
1.8
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

1:2

10%

0:2

9%

1:3

6%

2:1

6%
xG 分解
RAGV

Rio Ave

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.08
状态上升 (1.4 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.08
排名劣势 (第12位 vs 第6位, 相差6位)
-0.07
Andreas Ntoi未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)
Jakub Brabec替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Ole Pohlmann替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅77%可用)

Gil Vicente

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.52倍)
+0.84
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.06
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第12位, 相差6位)
+0.05
Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela替补席 (6球, 2助攻)
Agustín Nahuel Moreira Morales替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Antonio Espigares Morillas替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

21%

平局

26%

客胜

53%

进球数

Over 1.5

80%

Under 1.5

20%

Over 2.5

56%

Under 2.5

44%

Over 3.5

33%

Under 3.5

67%

双重机会

主胜或平局

47%

客胜或平局

79%

非平局

74%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • Mathematical Analysis: The model predicts an away win for Gil Vicente with a 53% probability
  • League Standings: Gil Vicente is in 6th place with 49 points, significantly ahead of Rio Ave (12th place, 34 points)
  • Defensive Strength: Gil Vicente concedes an average of 1.03 goals per game this season, while Rio Ave concedes 1.68 goals
风险因素
  • Head-to-Head: Four of the last five direct encounters ended in a draw, with Rio Ave recording the only win
  • Gil Vicente's Form Dip: Goal production has slowed recently (1.4) compared to their season average (1.6)
  • Rio Ave's Offensive Form: The home team is currently scoring more frequently (1.4) than their season average (1.1)
概述

Rio Ave (12th place, 34 points) host Gil Vicente (6th place, 49 points) at the Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube. The Liga Portugal match is scheduled for May 3, 2026, at 8:30 PM. Gil Vicente is contending for a European spot, while Rio Ave is in the mid-table.

近期状态

Rio Ave's form across all competitions is WLWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss), with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. Their most recent result was a loss.

Gil Vicente's form is LWDLW, also showing 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last game resulted in a win.

统计数据

Rio Ave averages 1.06 goals scored per game and concedes 1.68 goals. Both teams scored in 16 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 matches.

Gil Vicente shows a stronger offense with an average of 1.47 goals per game and a better defense, conceding 1.03 goals. Both teams scored in 14 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 15 matches.

The Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube averages 2.6 total goals per game. In 4 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and over 2.5 goals were recorded.

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Rio Ave has 1 win, Gil Vicente has 0 wins, and there have been 4 draws. Rio Ave scored 8 goals in these encounters, while Gil Vicente scored 5 goals.

The last meeting on December 20, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw. Rio Ave has been the more dominant side in recent direct duels.

关键球员

For Rio Ave, Jalen Blesa is a key player with 6 goals this season and an average rating of 7.13. He scored 2 goals in his last 5 matches.

Dario Spikic has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists this season. Marios Vrousai showed a rising form in the last 5 games with 1 assist and a rating of 7.28.

For Gil Vicente, Murilo de Souza Costa stands out, with 9 goals and 4 assists this season, scoring 3 goals in his last 5 appearances.

Luís André Leite Esteves is a key midfielder with 3 goals and 8 assists this season. Santiago García González has scored 6 goals and provided 3 assists.

门将

Rio Ave's goalkeeper Cezary Miszta has made 19 appearances this season.

The Rio Ave team achieved 5 clean sheets this season. Gil Vicente recorded 11 clean sheets, with Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira appearing in goal for 6 matches.

影响因素

Rio Ave averages 1.07 goals scored at home and concedes 1.67 goals. Gil Vicente averages 1.46 goals scored away and concedes 1.38 goals.

The Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 2.6 goals per game and both teams scoring in 80% of matches.

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