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Liga Portugal

Sporting CP - Vitória Guimarães

05/04/2026, 07:15 PM

5 : 1
预期进球
Sporting CP
1.7
Total xG
2.6
Vitória Guimarães
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
SCVG

Sporting CP

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.61
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.41
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 2.4 赛季平均)
-0.33
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.49倍)
+0.26
Morten Hjulmand未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)

Vitória Guimarães

防守实力 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.28
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.8球)
+0.15
状态上升 (1.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
+0.15
Oumar Camara替补席 (5球, 2助攻)
Gonçalo Nogueira替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

55%

平局

27%

客胜

18%

进球数

Over 1.5

75%

Under 1.5

25%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

双重机会

主胜或平局

82%

客胜或平局

45%

非平局

73%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Sporting CP home strength: The hosts average 2.53 goals scored and concede only 0.59 goals per home game
  • Vitória Guimarães defensive weakness: Vitória concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away match
  • Mathematical prediction: The model forecasts a home win with 55% probability
风险因素
  • Declining goal production for Sporting CP with currently 1.3 goals compared to the season average of 2.4 goals
  • Vitória Guimarães shows a positive form trend with currently 1.8 goals compared to the season average of 1.3 goals
  • Estádio José Alvalade has a tendency for matches with an average of 3.8 goals per game
概述

Sporting CP (3rd place, 73 points) host Vitória Guimarães (7th place, 42 points) at Estádio José Alvalade. The Liga Portugal match takes place on May 4, 2026, 9:15 PM. Sporting is fighting for top positions, while Vitória aims for a European competition spot.

近期状态

Sporting CP's current form is W-D-L-D-D (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss), with two consecutive draws in their last matches against Tondela (2:2) and AVS (1:1). Goal production is declining according to analysis.

Vitória Guimarães, on the other hand, shows a form of L-W-D-W-W (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Vitória recently won against Rio Ave (2:0) and Gil Vicente (1:0). The team has a positive form trend with currently higher goal production, according to analysis.

统计数据

Sporting CP has a season average of 2.48 goals scored and 0.71 goals conceded. At home, these figures are even stronger, with 2.53 goals scored and only 0.59 goals conceded per game. The team kept a clean sheet in 14 matches, 9 of them at home.

Vitória Guimarães scores an average of 1.23 goals and concedes 1.39 goals per game. Away from home, goals conceded are significantly higher at an average of 2.5. Vitória recorded 10 clean sheets, 5 of them away.

The last 5 matches at Estádio José Alvalade showed an average of 3.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches.

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting CP recorded 3 wins, Vitória Guimarães 1 win, and 1 match ended in a draw. Sporting scored 15 goals, while Vitória scored 8 goals. The last encounter on December 23, 2025, was won by Vitória Guimarães at home with a 4:1 score.

关键球员

For Sporting CP, Luis Suárez with 25 goals and 4 assists, Pedro Gonçalves with 13 goals and 6 assists, and Francisco Trincão with 6 goals and 11 assists are crucial. All three players currently show a declining form trend in their last five appearances.

Vitória Guimarães' standout players are Samu with 7 goals and 3 assists, Gustavo Silva with 5 goals and 2 assists, and João Mendes with 1 goal and 1 assist. Samu and Gustavo Silva show a rising form trend, as does João Mendes.

门将

Sporting CP's goalkeeper, Rui Silva, played 29 matches and recorded 14 clean sheets.

For Vitória Guimarães, Charles was in goal for 16 matches and kept 10 clean sheets.

影响因素

Estádio José Alvalade shows a tendency for high-scoring games with an average of 3.8 goals per match. In 60% of the last 5 games at the stadium, both teams scored, and in 80% there were more than 2.5 goals.

Sporting CP demonstrates a strong offense at home with an average of 2.53 goals scored per game and a solid defense with only 0.59 goals conceded. Vitória Guimarães, however, concedes an average of 2.5 goals per away game.

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