Liga Portugal
Casa Pia - Tondela
05/03/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.1
1.0
1:1
15%0:0
13%1:0
12%0:1
10%2:0
8%xG 分解
Casa Pia
Tondela
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
33%
客胜
29%
进球数
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
36%
Under 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
83%
双重机会
主胜或平局
71%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The analysis suggests a home win for Casa Pia with 39% probability or a draw with 33%
- Poor Form: Both teams are in very poor form with no wins in their last five league games
- Offensive Weakness: Both teams show low average goal production (Casa Pia 0.93; Tondela 0.74 goals per game)
风险因素
- Tondela concedes an average of 1.94 goals per away game
- Casa Pia averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 matches
- Tondela averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches
概述
Casa Pia (16th place, 26 points) host Tondela (17th place, 22 points) at Estádio Pina Manique. The Liga Portugal match is on May 3, 2026, 4:30 PM. Both teams are fighting at the bottom of the table against relegation.
近期状态
Casa Pia shows a form of DLDLL in their last five matches across all competitions, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Tondela also has a poor form of LDLLD in their last five matches across all competitions, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
统计数据
Casa Pia averages 0.93 goals scored per game and 1.77 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they score 0.94 goals and concede 1.33 goals per game. Tondela averages 0.74 goals scored per game and 1.68 goals conceded per game. Away, they score 0.75 goals and concede 1.94 goals per game. The Estádio Pina Manique has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 1 out of 5 games.
历史交锋
There has only been one direct encounter between these teams. Casa Pia won this match away against Tondela on December 21, 2025, with a score of 2-1. Overall, Casa Pia has scored 2 goals and Tondela has scored 1 goal in head-to-head matches.
关键球员
For Casa Pia, Jérémy Livolant (3 goals, 8 assists) with a declining form trend, Cassiano (5 goals) with stable form, and Gaizka Larrazabal (3 goals, 4 assists) with stable form are in the current squad. For Tondela, Maranhão (6 goals, 1 assist) with a declining form trend, Rony Lopes (2 goals, 2 assists) with stable form, and Cícero (1 goal, 1 assist) with a rising form are important players.
门将
Patrick Sequeira is Casa Pia's goalkeeper with a season average rating of 6.65. Casa Pia recorded 6 clean sheets. Bernardo is in goal for Tondela with a season average rating of 6.93. Tondela achieved 5 clean sheets.
影响因素
Casa Pia's home strength is reflected in an average of 0.94 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded in home games. Tondela's away weakness is evident with 0.75 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded in away games. The Estádio Pina Manique averages 2.0 goals per game over the last five matches.