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Liga Portugal

Famalicão - Benfica

05/02/2026, 05:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Famalicão
1.1
Total xG
2.2
Benfica
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

10%

0:1

10%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
FAMBEN

Famalicão

防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.53
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.00
Ibrahima Ba替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Benfica

防守实力 (场均失0.8球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.36
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.69倍)
-0.26
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.13
状态上升 (2.4 vs 2 赛季平均)
+0.13
Vangelis Pavlidis替补席 (22球, 4助攻)
Rafa Silva替补席 (3球, 0助攻)
28%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

35%

平局

32%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

65%

非平局

68%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Benfica's strong away record with an average of 2.15 goals per away game
  • Famalicão's impressive home defense, conceding an average of only 0.53 goals
  • Benfica's positive form, securing 4 wins in their last five matches
风险因素
  • Benfica is weakened by the absence of Vangelis Pavlidis and Rafa Silva, leaving only 90% of the team's usual goal threat available
  • Famalicão's current xG (0.78) is significantly below their season average (1.25), indicating potential overperformance
概述

Famalicão (5th place, 51 points) host Benfica (2nd place, 75 points) at Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho. The Liga Portugal match takes place on May 02, 2026, 7:00 PM. Famalicão is aiming for a European spot, while Benfica is fighting for the championship.

近期状态

Famalicão is unbeaten in their last five league matches, showing a form of WDDDW

This includes 2 wins and 3 draws

Benfica also displayed strong form in their last five league matches, with a record of WDWWW

They secured 4 wins and 1 draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Famalicão scored an average of 1.26 goals per game this season and conceded 0.87 goals

At home, they scored 1.26 goals and conceded only 0.53 goals per home game

Benfica is more offensively potent with an average of 2.16 goals per game and 0.65 goals conceded

Away from home, Benfica scores 2.15 goals and concedes 0.69 goals

The venue has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game in the last five matches

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and 1 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head matches, Famalicão secured 2 wins and Benfica claimed 3 wins

Famalicão scored 4 goals, while Benfica registered 8 goals

The last encounter ended in a 0:1 away victory for Benfica on December 22, 2025

关键球员

For Famalicão: Gil Dias (4 goals, 7 assists) and Sorriso (5 goals, 4 assists) are important attacking players

Justin de Haas contributed 5 goals as a defender

For Benfica: Andreas Schjelderup (6 goals, 4 assists) and Leandro Barreiro (3 goals, 5 assists) are crucial

Richard Ríos also contributed with 3 goals and 4 assists

Not nominated for Benfica are Vangelis Pavlidis (22 goals, 4 assists) and Rafa Silva (3 goals, 0 assists)

Not nominated for Famalicão is Ibrahima Ba (1 goal, 1 assist)

门将

Lazar Carević (Famalicão) played 31 matches and kept 15 clean sheets

Anatoliy Trubin (Benfica) played 29 matches and achieved 14 clean sheets

影响因素

Famalicão holds a home advantage with a solid home record of 1.26 goals scored and 0.53 goals conceded per game

The grass pitch of Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho favors a game with an average of 2.0 goals per match

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