Liga Portugal
Moreirense - Estrela Amadora
05/02/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
0.9
1.8
0.9
0:0
18%1:1
15%0:1
13%1:0
13%0:2
7%xG 分解
Moreirense
Estrela Amadora
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
32%
平局
36%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
55%
Under 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
Over 3.5
11%
Under 3.5
89%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
68%
非平局
64%
双方进球
是
37%
否
63%
关键因素
- The prediction models forecast a very balanced match with identical expected goals of 0.90 for both teams
- Both teams show a negative form trend; Moreirense with LLDWL and Estrela Amadora with WLLLL in their last 5 games
- Estrela Amadora's significant defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 2.25 goals per away game
风险因素
- Moreirense recorded an average of only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
- V. Cardoso Sousa (broken fibula) is out injured for Moreirense
概述
Moreirense (8th place, 39 points) host Estrela Amadora (15th place, 28 points) at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Liga Portugal match on May 2, 2026, 4:30 PM
Moreirense aims to stabilize in midfield, while Estrela Amadora needs crucial points in the relegation battle
近期状态
Moreirense shows a form of LLDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last 5 league games
This corresponds to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
The last result was a loss, Moreirense lost 1-4 away against Benfica
Previously there was a 1-0 home win against Estoril and a 1-1 away draw against Famalicão
Estrela Amadora's form in their last 5 league games is WLLLL
This means 1 win and 4 losses, with 4 consecutive losses at the end
The last match was a 1-2 home loss against Porto, followed by a 0-1 away loss against Arouca and a 0-1 home loss against Sporting CP
统计数据
Moreirense averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.45 goals conceded per season
At home, they average 1.06 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded
Moreirense kept 8 clean sheets and both teams scored in 15 matches
Estrela Amadora also averages 1.1 goals per game, but concedes an average of 1.65 goals
Away from home, they score 1.08 goals and concede a high 2.25 goals per game
Estrela Amadora recorded 7 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 14 matches
In the last 5 games at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, an average of 1.6 goals per game were scored
Both teams scored in 1 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 out of 5 games
历史交锋
There have been a total of 5 head-to-head matches between Moreirense and Estrela Amadora
The record is balanced with 1 win for Moreirense, 1 win for Estrela Amadora, and 3 draws
The goal difference is also balanced at 5:5 goals
The last encounter on December 20, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
The head-to-head record is rated as even
关键球员
For Moreirense, Alan de Souza Guimarães is an important midfielder with 4 goals and 5 assists this season, he scored 1 goal in his last 5 games
Travassos, a defender, has scored 5 season goals and provided 3 assists, his form shows a slight declining trend
Rodrigo Alonso Martín (midfielder) contributed 3 goals and 2 assists this season, with 1 goal in his last 5 appearances
For Estrela Amadora, Abraham Marcus is a key attacker with 5 season goals and 5 assists, his form is rising with 1 goal and 2 assists in his last 5 games
Jovane Cabral has scored 6 goals this season and contributed 1 goal in the last 5 games
Rodrigo Pinho, also an attacker, has 4 season goals and 1 assist, his form shows a rising trend with 2 goals in his last 5 games
门将
Moreirense's goalkeeper Caio Gobbo Secco has achieved 8 clean sheets this season
Estrela Amadora's goalkeeper Renan Ribeiro has kept 7 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Moreirense has scored an average of 1.06 goals at home and conceded 1.19 goals, indicating a moderate home advantage
The last 5 games at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas showed an average of 1.6 goals per game
Statistics indicate that both teams scored in 1 of 5 games and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 games
The match will be played on a grass surface