Liga Portugal
Arouca - Santa Clara
05/02/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.1
1:1
14%0:0
10%1:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
8%xG 分解
Arouca
Santa Clara
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
30%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
58%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Arouca with a 42% probability
- Arouca's home offensive strength (avg. 1.29 goals) meets Santa Clara's away defense (avg. 1.50 goals conceded)
- Matches at Estádio Municipal de Arouca tend to be high-scoring, with an average of 3.4 goals per game and 80% over 2.5 goals
风险因素
- Arouca averaged only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Santa Clara averaged only 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Santa Clara recently conceded an average of 1.75 goals per game, compared to their season average of 1.23
概述
Arouca (11th place, 35 points) host Santa Clara (13th place, 32 points) at Estádio Municipal de Arouca. The Liga Portugal match takes place on May 2, 2026, 4:30 PM. Both teams are battling in the mid-table for a better position.
近期状态
Arouca's current form in Liga Portugal is WWLWL, which means 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. Their last result was a 1-2 away loss against Alverca. Santa Clara shows a form of WLLDW, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Santa Clara won their last match 2-1 at home against Sporting Braga.
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Arouca has scored an average of 1.26 goals and conceded 1.94 goals per game this season. At home, they scored 1.29 goals and conceded 1.59 goals per home game. Santa Clara scored an average of 0.90 goals and conceded 1.23 goals. Away from home, Santa Clara averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded.
Matches at Estádio Municipal de Arouca have seen an average of 3.4 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 matches.
历史交锋
In 3 direct Liga Portugal encounters, Arouca secured 1 win, Santa Clara also 1 win, and there was 1 draw. The goal difference is 1:2 in favor of Santa Clara. The last meeting on December 21, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw. The recent head-to-head record is even.
关键球员
For Arouca, Alfonso Trezza with 8 goals and 3 assists, Iván Barbero with 7 goals and 2 assists, and Naïs Djouahra with 6 goals and 3 assists are key players. Alfonso Trezza shows stable form, while Iván Barbero's form is declining. Not nominated: Pablo Gozálbez (1G/1A).
For Santa Clara, Gabriel Silva with 5 goals, Serginho with 4 goals and 2 assists, and Gonçalo Paciência with 3 goals are the top scorers. Serginho and Gonçalo Paciência show stable form, while Gabriel Silva's form is declining. Not nominated: Luis Fernando (1G/1A), Welinton Torrão (1G/1A).
门将
Arouca's goalkeeper, Ignacio de Arruabarrena, has an average rating of 6.81 in 13 appearances. The Arouca team achieved 7 clean sheets this season. Gabriel Batista, Santa Clara's goalkeeper, has an average rating of 6.79 in 31 appearances. Santa Clara kept 9 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
Arouca averaged 1.29 home goals scored and 1.59 home goals conceded. Santa Clara averaged 0.93 goals scored away and 1.50 goals conceded away. Estádio Municipal de Arouca is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 total goals per match. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 80% of matches, and both teams scored in 60%.