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Bundesliga

Hamburger SV - FC Köln

03/14/2026, 05:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Hamburger SV
1.7
Total xG
2.9
FC Köln
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

8%

1:2

6%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
HSFK

Hamburger SV

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.02
Nicolás Capaldo未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)

FC Köln

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.41
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.11
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.11
Jan Thielmann未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.67
+0.67
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

27%

客胜

24%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

76%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

73%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Hamburger SV with 49% probability
  • Hamburger SV shows stable form, while FC Köln exhibits a negative trend
  • HSV's home defense (Avg. 0.94 goals conceded) is significantly stronger than FC Köln's away defense (Avg. 2.44 goals conceded)
风险因素
  • Both teams have extensive lists of injured and suspended players
  • FC Köln conceded an average of 2.44 goals per away game
  • FC Köln has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches with 3 wins in 5 games
概述

Hamburger SV (10th place, 29 points) host FC Köln (14th place, 24 points) at the Volksparkstadion

Bundesliga match on March 14, 2026, 6:30 PM

HSV aims to improve its league position, while Köln needs crucial points in the relegation battle

近期状态

Hamburger SV shows mixed form in their last five games (W-D-L-L-W)

This includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

FC Köln is going through a negative phase with 4 losses and 1 draw (L-L-D-L-L)

The team from Cologne has not won any of their last five matches

According to the analysis, Hamburger SV's current form is assessed as stable, while FC Köln shows a negative trend

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Hamburger SV scores an average of 1.12 goals per game and concedes 1.44 goals

In home games, HSV scores an average of 1.12 goals and concedes 0.94 goals

FC Köln scores an average of 1.36 goals and concedes 1.72 goals per game

In away games, Köln concedes an average of 2.44 goals

Both teams scored in 14 HSV games and 18 FC Köln games

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 13 HSV games and 15 Köln games

At Volksparkstadion, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored in the last five matches

In 3 out of 5 games at Volksparkstadion, both teams scored, and 3 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Hamburger SV's goal production is consistent at about 1.4 goals per game

FC Köln's goal production is stagnant at 1.0 goals, while the season average is 1.4

历史交锋

In the last five direct Bundesliga encounters, FC Köln won 3 matches

Hamburger SV won 2 of these games, with no draws

The goal difference is 11:6 in favor of FC Köln

The last meeting on November 2, 2025, ended with a 4:1 victory for FC Köln

FC Köln has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches

关键球员

Hamburger SV's probable starting XI will feature Ransford Königsdörffer in attack, who scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists in 25 season appearances

Luka Vuskovic in defense contributed 5 goals in 22 appearances

Fábio Vieira in midfield has 4 goals and 4 assists in 20 season appearances

For FC Köln, Said El Mala (8 goals, 4 assists in 25 appearances) and Jakub Kamiński (6 goals, 2 assists in 25 appearances) are important offensive players

Ragnar Ache scored 5 goals and 3 assists in 24 season appearances for Köln

门将

In goal for Hamburger SV is Daniel Heuer Fernandes, who kept 6 clean sheets this season

Marvin Schwäbe guards the goal for FC Köln, achieving 3 clean sheets this season

影响因素

The match takes place at Volksparkstadion, whose grass surface is considered normal

Hamburger SV scores an average of 1.12 goals at home and concedes 0.94 goals

FC Köln concedes an average of 2.44 goals per away game

Volksparkstadion recorded an average of 2.6 goals in the last five matches

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