Bundesliga
Hamburger SV - FC Köln
03/14/2026, 05:30 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.9
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
Hamburger SV
FC Köln
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
49%
平局
27%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
51%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
58%
否
42%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Hamburger SV with 49% probability
- Hamburger SV shows stable form, while FC Köln exhibits a negative trend
- HSV's home defense (Avg. 0.94 goals conceded) is significantly stronger than FC Köln's away defense (Avg. 2.44 goals conceded)
风险因素
- Both teams have extensive lists of injured and suspended players
- FC Köln conceded an average of 2.44 goals per away game
- FC Köln has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches with 3 wins in 5 games
概述
Hamburger SV (10th place, 29 points) host FC Köln (14th place, 24 points) at the Volksparkstadion
Bundesliga match on March 14, 2026, 6:30 PM
HSV aims to improve its league position, while Köln needs crucial points in the relegation battle
近期状态
Hamburger SV shows mixed form in their last five games (W-D-L-L-W)
This includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
FC Köln is going through a negative phase with 4 losses and 1 draw (L-L-D-L-L)
The team from Cologne has not won any of their last five matches
According to the analysis, Hamburger SV's current form is assessed as stable, while FC Köln shows a negative trend
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Hamburger SV scores an average of 1.12 goals per game and concedes 1.44 goals
In home games, HSV scores an average of 1.12 goals and concedes 0.94 goals
FC Köln scores an average of 1.36 goals and concedes 1.72 goals per game
In away games, Köln concedes an average of 2.44 goals
Both teams scored in 14 HSV games and 18 FC Köln games
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 13 HSV games and 15 Köln games
At Volksparkstadion, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored in the last five matches
In 3 out of 5 games at Volksparkstadion, both teams scored, and 3 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals
Hamburger SV's goal production is consistent at about 1.4 goals per game
FC Köln's goal production is stagnant at 1.0 goals, while the season average is 1.4
历史交锋
In the last five direct Bundesliga encounters, FC Köln won 3 matches
Hamburger SV won 2 of these games, with no draws
The goal difference is 11:6 in favor of FC Köln
The last meeting on November 2, 2025, ended with a 4:1 victory for FC Köln
FC Köln has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches
关键球员
Hamburger SV's probable starting XI will feature Ransford Königsdörffer in attack, who scored 4 goals and provided 2 assists in 25 season appearances
Luka Vuskovic in defense contributed 5 goals in 22 appearances
Fábio Vieira in midfield has 4 goals and 4 assists in 20 season appearances
For FC Köln, Said El Mala (8 goals, 4 assists in 25 appearances) and Jakub Kamiński (6 goals, 2 assists in 25 appearances) are important offensive players
Ragnar Ache scored 5 goals and 3 assists in 24 season appearances for Köln
门将
In goal for Hamburger SV is Daniel Heuer Fernandes, who kept 6 clean sheets this season
Marvin Schwäbe guards the goal for FC Köln, achieving 3 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The match takes place at Volksparkstadion, whose grass surface is considered normal
Hamburger SV scores an average of 1.12 goals at home and concedes 0.94 goals
FC Köln concedes an average of 2.44 goals per away game
Volksparkstadion recorded an average of 2.6 goals in the last five matches