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Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente - Arouca

05/11/2026, 07:15 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Gil Vicente
1.1
Total xG
2.0
Arouca
0.9
最可能的比分

0:0

15%

1:1

15%

1:0

14%

0:1

10%

2:0

9%
xG 分解
GVARO

Gil Vicente

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.53
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.40
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
-0.06
Antonio Espigares Morillas替补席 (1球, 1助攻)

Arouca

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.49
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.02
Hyun-ju Lee未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.8球 vs 总体1.3球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

41%

平局

34%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

32%

Under 2.5

68%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

59%

非平局

66%

双方进球

41%

59%

关键因素
  • Arouca's away vulnerability: The team concedes an average of 2.54 goals per away game
  • Gil Vicente's home strength: The team concedes an average of only 0.74 goals in home matches
  • Gil Vicente's current form: Gil Vicente scores more frequently (1.8 goals) recently than their season average (1.6 goals)
风险因素
  • Arouca's attacking efficiency: Arouca averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 matches
  • Historical draw tendency: 4 of the last 5 head-to-head encounters ended in a draw
  • Low goal probability: The pipeline analysis predicts only a 32% chance for over 2.5 goals and 41% for "both teams to score"
概述

Gil Vicente (6th place, 50 points) host Arouca (11th place, 36 points) at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos. Liga Portugal match on May 11, 2026, 8:15 PM. Gil Vicente aim to consolidate their top-half position, while Arouca seek to improve their standing

近期状态

Gil Vicente's form over the last five matches is WDLWD

This includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss

Their last result was a draw

Arouca shows a form of WLWLD

This means 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Arouca also ended their last match with a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Gil Vicente scores an average of 1.44 goals per game and concedes 1.00 goal

They recorded 12 clean sheets and both teams scored in 15 matches

16 games ended with over 2.5 goals

Arouca scores an average of 1.28 goals and concedes 1.94 goals per game

They kept 7 clean sheets and both teams scored in 17 matches

21 of their games had over 2.5 goals

In home games, Gil Vicente scores an average of 1.42 goals and concedes 0.74 goals

Arouca concedes an average of 2.54 goals per away game

At Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, the last 5 games averaged 2.8 goals

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and 4 of 5 ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, there have been 4 draws

Arouca secured 1 win, while Gil Vicente has none

The goal difference in direct encounters is 6:9 in favor of Arouca

Their last meeting on December 28, 2025, ended in a 2-2 draw

Arouca is rated as the recently dominant team in head-to-head matches

关键球员

For Gil Vicente, Murilo de Souza Costa stands out with 11 season goals and 4 assists

Luís André Leite Esteves has scored 3 goals and provided 8 assists

Santiago García González contributed with 6 goals and 3 assists

Additionally, Antonio Espigares Morillas (1G/1A) is not nominated

For Arouca, Alfonso Trezza is a key player with 8 season goals and 3 assists

Naïs Djouahra has delivered 6 goals and 3 assists

Iván Barbero has 7 goals and 2 assists

Additionally, Hyun-ju Lee (6G/3A) is not nominated

门将

Gil Vicente has recorded 12 clean sheets this season

Arouca achieved 7 clean sheets

Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira is the goalkeeper for Gil Vicente

Ignacio de Arruabarrena is the goalkeeper for Arouca

影响因素

Gil Vicente shows solid performance at home with an average of 1.42 goals scored

They conceded an average of only 0.74 goals in home games

Arouca, however, is vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.54 goals per game

The grass pitch at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos offers standard playing conditions

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos has seen an average of 2.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and 4 of 5 ended with over 2.5 goals

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