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Liga Portugal

Benfica - Sporting Braga

05/11/2026, 07:15 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Benfica
1.8
Total xG
2.7
Sporting Braga
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:0

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

7%

3:1

6%
xG 分解
BENSB

Benfica

防守实力 (场均失0.9球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.64
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.54倍)
+0.41
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.2球)
+0.07
Vangelis Pavlidis替补席 (22球, 4助攻)
Richard Ríos未进大名单 (4球, 4助攻)
Nicolás Otamendi未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
25%进球产出缺失 (仅86%可用)

Sporting Braga

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.23
防守实力 (场均失1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.21
Rodrigo Zalazar替补席 (16球, 5助攻)
Mario Dorgeles替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
38%进球产出缺失 (仅78%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

59%

平局

25%

客胜

16%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

84%

客胜或平局

41%

非平局

75%

双方进球

49%

51%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win with 59%
  • Offensive strength: Benfica currently scores more often (2.2 goals on average) than their season average (2.0 goals)
  • Home strength: Benfica boasts an impressive home offense (2.17 goals/game) and defense (0.61 goals conceded/game)
概述

Benfica (3rd place, 76 points) host Sporting Braga (4th place, 57 points) at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Liga Portugal match on May 11, 2026, 9:15 PM

Benfica aims to continue their unbeaten run and maintain the fight for the top of Liga Portugal

近期状态

Benfica shows strong form with "DWWWD" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last 5 games

The home team achieved 3 wins and 2 draws, with the last game ending in a draw

Sporting Braga has a mixed form of "WLWDL" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last 5 matches

The away team recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with the last game being a loss

统计数据

Benfica shows a strong offense this season with an average of 2.16 goals per game

The defense is also stable with an average of 0.69 goals conceded per game

Sporting Braga scores an average of 1.88 goals and concedes 1.00 goal per game

In home games, Benfica scores an average of 2.17 goals and concedes an average of 0.61 goals

Sporting Braga scores an average of 1.87 goals away and concedes an average of 1.07 goals

At the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, an average of 3.4 total goals were scored in the last 5 games

Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games

历史交锋

In 5 recent head-to-head matches, Benfica secured 2 wins, Sporting Braga 1 win, and there were 2 draws

Benfica scored a total of 8 goals in these encounters, while Sporting Braga scored 6 goals

The last encounter on December 28, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw

Benfica has been the more dominant team in recent direct duels

关键球员

For Benfica, Andreas Schjelderup (7 goals, 5 assists, Avg. 7.02 Rating) and Leandro Barreiro (3 goals, 5 assists, Avg. 6.91 Rating) are key players

Andreas Schjelderup shows rising form with 3 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games

Leandro Barreiro contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games and shows rising form

Franjo Ivanović has scored 6 goals and 1 assist this season, with 2 goals in the last 5 games

For Sporting Braga, Pau Víctor (8 goals, 4 assists, Avg. 6.98 Rating) stands out, scoring 2 goals in the last 5 games

Demir Ege Tıknaz (1 goal, 1 assist in the last 5 games) shows rising form

Víctor Gómez (1 goal, 3 assists this season) shows rising form with 2 assists in the last 5 games

门将

Benfica's goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin made 30 season appearances

The Benfica team kept 14 clean sheets this season

Sporting Braga's goalkeeper Lukas Hornicek made 31 season appearances

The Sporting Braga team kept 12 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Benfica benefits from home advantage at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica with an average of 2.17 goals scored and 0.61 goals conceded in home games

The grass surface of the stadium is noted as an influencing factor for the match

The last 5 games at the stadium showed an average of 3.4 goals per game, with a 40% BTTS rate and an 80% Over 2.5 rate

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