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Liga Portugal

AVS - Porto

05/10/2026, 05:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
AVS
0.7
Total xG
2.7
Porto
1.9
最可能的比分

0:2

13%

1:1

11%

1:2

10%

0:3

8%

1:3

6%
xG 分解
AVSPOR

AVS

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.84
防守不足 (场均失2.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.78
排名劣势 (第18位 vs 第1位, 相差17位)
-0.13
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.11
状态上升 (1.2 vs 0.8 赛季平均)
+0.11
Tomané替补席 (4球, 1助攻)

Porto

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.33倍)
+0.81
防守实力 (场均失0.6球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.61
排名优势 (第1位 vs 第18位, 相差17位)
+0.13
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
-0.09
Victor Froholdt替补席 (6球, 7助攻)
Gabri Veiga替补席 (3球, 8助攻)
Oskar Pietuszewski替补席 (3球, 2助攻)
Pablo Rosario替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Jan Bednarek未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
Zaidu Sanusi未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅73%可用)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

13%

平局

24%

客胜

64%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

36%

客胜或平局

87%

非平局

76%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Clear Favorite: The mathematical analysis shows a high probability of 64% for an away win for Porto
  • Porto's Offensive Strength: Porto's goal production, with 1.91 expected away goals, significantly surpasses that of the home team
  • Defensive Weakness at AVS: AVS concedes an average of 2.06 goals per game this season
风险因素
  • AVS scores only 0.75 home goals per game
  • CRITICAL: Porto has only 73% of usual starting eleven goal threat available, without Victor Froholdt, Gabri Veiga, Oskar Pietuszewski, Pablo Rosario, Jan Bednarek, Zaidu Sanusi
概述

AVS (18th place, 17 points) hosts Porto (1st place, 85 points) at Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves. The Liga Portugal match takes place on May 10, 2026, 6:00 PM. Porto leads the league table and is a clear favorite against bottom-placed AVS.

近期状态

AVS shows a form of LDDDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). In their last five games, the home team recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with the last result being a win. Porto, on the other hand, is in strong form with WLWWW. The visitors recorded 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five matches and enter the game with a 3-game winning streak. AVS scored 2 goals and conceded 1 against Nacional in their last match, while Porto won 1-0 against Alverca.

统计数据

AVS has scored an average of 0.75 goals per game this season and conceded 2.06 goals per game. Porto boasts a strong offense with an average of 2.0 goals per game and a very solid defense with only 0.47 goals conceded per game. In home games, AVS scored 0.75 times and conceded 1.62 goals. Porto scored an average of 2.0 goals away from home and conceded only 0.56 goals. At Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, an average of 1.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 1 of 5 games.

历史交锋

In the 3 direct encounters between AVS and Porto, AVS has not won any, while Porto has won all 3 matches. The goal difference is 0:9 in favor of Porto. The last meeting on December 29, 2025, ended in a 2-0 victory for Porto. Porto has been dominant in recent head-to-head matches.

关键球员

For AVS, Pedro Lima Barros is an important midfielder with 4 season goals and 2 assists, whose form has recently risen (3 goals in the last 5 games). Guilherme Neiva Silva, an attacker, recorded 2 season goals and 2 assists, also showing rising form (1 goal, 1 assist in the last 5 games). Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete contributed 3 goals and 1 assist to the season. For Porto, Alberto Costa stands out as a defender with 1 season goal and 8 assists, 2 of which came in the last 5 games. Deniz Gül, an attacker, scored 4 season goals and 1 assist, with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games and rising form. Pepê contributed 3 goals and 4 assists to the season and scored 1 goal in the last 5 games.

门将

AVS' goalkeeper Adriel made 15 appearances and kept 4 clean sheets. Porto's goalkeeper Cláudio Ramos played 1 game, while the team recorded a total of 20 clean sheets, 9 of which were away.

影响因素

Porto demonstrates an impressive away performance with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.56 goals conceded. The Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves has seen an average of 1.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches. The home team AVS scores an average of 0.75 goals per home game and concedes 1.62 home goals.

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